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icon for Гэвин Ньюсом объявит о президентской гонке...?

Гэвин Ньюсом объявит о президентской гонке...?

icon for Гэвин Ньюсом объявит о президентской гонке...?

Гэвин Ньюсом объявит о президентской гонке...?

$91,344 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$91,344 Объем

Polymarket

31 декабря 2026 года

$59,610 Объем

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Governor Gavin Newsom faces term limits that end his time in office in January 2027, prompting ongoing speculation about a 2028 presidential bid. In October 2025 he confirmed he would seriously consider running and reach a decision after the November 2026 midterms. Through mid-2026 he has raised his national profile via book tours in early primary states, criticism of the Trump administration, and policy shifts including populist AI regulations and a new consumer protection appointment. A July 2026 remark tied any formal entry to “fate,” while his standing in 2028 Democratic nomination markets has declined from earlier peaks. No announcement has occurred as of August 2026; traders will watch midterm results, polling trends among Democratic primary voters, and any scheduled appearances or statements in the coming months for signals of an imminent launch.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$91,344
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Governor Gavin Newsom faces term limits that end his time in office in January 2027, prompting ongoing speculation about a 2028 presidential bid. In October 2025 he confirmed he would seriously consider running and reach a decision after the November 2026 midterms. Through mid-2026 he has raised his national profile via book tours in early primary states, criticism of the Trump administration, and policy shifts including populist AI regulations and a new consumer protection appointment. A July 2026 remark tied any formal entry to “fate,” while his standing in 2028 Democratic nomination markets has declined from earlier peaks. No announcement has occurred as of August 2026; traders will watch midterm results, polling trends among Democratic primary voters, and any scheduled appearances or statements in the coming months for signals of an imminent launch.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$91,344
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Гэвин Ньюсом объявит о президентской гонке...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря 2026 года» с 11%, за ним следует «31 декабря 2025 года» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 11¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Гэвин Ньюсом объявит о президентской гонке...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $91.3K с момента запуска рынка Oct 27, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Гэвин Ньюсом объявит о президентской гонке...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Гэвин Ньюсом объявит о президентской гонке...?» — «31 декабря 2026 года» с 11%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 декабря 2025 года» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Гэвин Ньюсом объявит о президентской гонке...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.