Iran’s constitution mandates presidential elections every four years, with the next scheduled contest set for 2028 following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early elections occur only under narrow conditions such as the sitting president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have materialized. As of mid-2026, no official announcements, Guardian Council actions, or leadership changes have initiated candidate vetting or scheduling procedures. Traders therefore assign low implied probabilities to a vote before late 2026 or mid-2027 deadlines, reflecting the absence of political or institutional catalysts that historically precede snap contests. Any shift would require verifiable developments such as a leadership transition or constitutional amendment within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПроведет ли Иран президентские выборы...?
Проведет ли Иран президентские выборы...?
$767,367 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
5%
$767,367 Объем
31 декабря
$153 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s constitution mandates presidential elections every four years, with the next scheduled contest set for 2028 following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early elections occur only under narrow conditions such as the sitting president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have materialized. As of mid-2026, no official announcements, Guardian Council actions, or leadership changes have initiated candidate vetting or scheduling procedures. Traders therefore assign low implied probabilities to a vote before late 2026 or mid-2027 deadlines, reflecting the absence of political or institutional catalysts that historically precede snap contests. Any shift would require verifiable developments such as a leadership transition or constitutional amendment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Объем
$767,367Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s constitution mandates presidential elections every four years, with the next scheduled contest set for 2028 following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early elections occur only under narrow conditions such as the sitting president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have materialized. As of mid-2026, no official announcements, Guardian Council actions, or leadership changes have initiated candidate vetting or scheduling procedures. Traders therefore assign low implied probabilities to a vote before late 2026 or mid-2027 deadlines, reflecting the absence of political or institutional catalysts that historically precede snap contests. Any shift would require verifiable developments such as a leadership transition or constitutional amendment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$767,367Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s constitution mandates presidential elections every four years, with the next scheduled contest set for 2028 following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early elections occur only under narrow conditions such as the sitting president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have materialized. As of mid-2026, no official announcements, Guardian Council actions, or leadership changes have initiated candidate vetting or scheduling procedures. Traders therefore assign low implied probabilities to a vote before late 2026 or mid-2027 deadlines, reflecting the absence of political or institutional catalysts that historically precede snap contests. Any shift would require verifiable developments such as a leadership transition or constitutional amendment within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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