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icon for Пройдут ли выборы в Израиле по графику?

Пройдут ли выборы в Израиле по графику?

icon for Пройдут ли выборы в Израиле по графику?

Пройдут ли выборы в Израиле по графику?

Да

90% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

90% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The scheduled October 27, 2026, Knesset election remains on track following the 25th Knesset’s dissolution on July 17 after completing its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Coalition leaders confirmed the date in July under the Basic Law framework, and parties submitted candidate slates to the Central Elections Committee by the September 9 deadline, with 38 lists filed and reviews ongoing. Recent campaign developments, including surplus agreements and bloc positioning ahead of diplomatic voting on October 20, have proceeded without legal challenges or emergency measures that could trigger postponement under Article 9a. Trader consensus at 89.5% for “yes” aligns with this established timeline and absence of disruptive factors in the final weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.

This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$8,817
Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The scheduled October 27, 2026, Knesset election remains on track following the 25th Knesset’s dissolution on July 17 after completing its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Coalition leaders confirmed the date in July under the Basic Law framework, and parties submitted candidate slates to the Central Elections Committee by the September 9 deadline, with 38 lists filed and reviews ongoing. Recent campaign developments, including surplus agreements and bloc positioning ahead of diplomatic voting on October 20, have proceeded without legal challenges or emergency measures that could trigger postponement under Article 9a. Trader consensus at 89.5% for “yes” aligns with this established timeline and absence of disruptive factors in the final weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.

This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$8,817
Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

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