Skip to main content
icon for Отменит ли Мамдани занятия в четверг на параде Никс?

Отменит ли Мамдани занятия в четверг на параде Никс?

icon for Отменит ли Мамдани занятия в четверг на параде Никс?

Отменит ли Мамдани занятия в четверг на параде Никс?

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s enthusiastic support for the Knicks’ first NBA title since 1973, including his rapid announcement of the Thursday ticker-tape parade and City Hall ceremony plus prior moves like repealing student bedtimes during the Finals, creates strong trader expectations that he will push for school closures or schedule adjustments to accommodate the Canyon of Heroes event. Counterbalancing factors include the mayor’s limited direct authority over the Department of Education and Regents exams, which typically require coordination with the governor and state officials, plus the precedent of maintaining classes throughout the Finals despite fan excitement. Recent public statements about canceling school and Regents exams reflect his preference for maximizing participation, yet logistical hurdles around a weekday parade and competing educational priorities keep the implied probability evenly split at 50 percent. Fresh updates on official school announcements or state-level approvals could quickly shift sentiment in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes".

Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified.

This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels.

If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 15, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s enthusiastic support for the Knicks’ first NBA title since 1973, including his rapid announcement of the Thursday ticker-tape parade and City Hall ceremony plus prior moves like repealing student bedtimes during the Finals, creates strong trader expectations that he will push for school closures or schedule adjustments to accommodate the Canyon of Heroes event. Counterbalancing factors include the mayor’s limited direct authority over the Department of Education and Regents exams, which typically require coordination with the governor and state officials, plus the precedent of maintaining classes throughout the Finals despite fan excitement. Recent public statements about canceling school and Regents exams reflect his preference for maximizing participation, yet logistical hurdles around a weekday parade and competing educational priorities keep the implied probability evenly split at 50 percent. Fresh updates on official school announcements or state-level approvals could quickly shift sentiment in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes".

Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified.

This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels.

If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 15, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Отменит ли Мамдани занятия в четверг на параде Никс?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 50% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 50¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Отменит ли Мамдани занятия в четверг на параде Никс?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 15, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Отменит ли Мамдани занятия в четверг на параде Никс?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Отменит ли Мамдани занятия в четверг на параде Никс?» составляет 50% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 50%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Отменит ли Мамдани занятия в четверг на параде Никс?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.