Strong national-team pedigrees and recent form keep the Messi-Ronaldo-Neymar race tight, yet the 50% “Other” price reflects deeper tournament favorites such as France and Spain. Argentina’s defending-champion squad and Messi’s ongoing Inter Miami output position him for a deep run, while Portugal’s talent depth and Ronaldo’s Saudi Pro League scoring give him comparable upside at age 41. Brazil’s group strength is offset by Neymar’s documented fitness setbacks and limited minutes at Santos, capping his implied probability. With all three sides projected to reach the knockout rounds but facing loaded brackets, small differences in squad depth, rest, and early exits for non-favorites sustain the bunched pricing among the named players.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCristiano Ronaldo 44%
Lionel Messi 36%
Neymar Jr. 22%
$11,705 Объем
$11,705 Объем
Cristiano Ronaldo
44%
Lionel Messi
36%
Neymar Jr.
22%
Cristiano Ronaldo 44%
Lionel Messi 36%
Neymar Jr. 22%
$11,705 Объем
$11,705 Объем
Cristiano Ronaldo
44%
Lionel Messi
36%
Neymar Jr.
22%
If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 3, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong national-team pedigrees and recent form keep the Messi-Ronaldo-Neymar race tight, yet the 50% “Other” price reflects deeper tournament favorites such as France and Spain. Argentina’s defending-champion squad and Messi’s ongoing Inter Miami output position him for a deep run, while Portugal’s talent depth and Ronaldo’s Saudi Pro League scoring give him comparable upside at age 41. Brazil’s group strength is offset by Neymar’s documented fitness setbacks and limited minutes at Santos, capping his implied probability. With all three sides projected to reach the knockout rounds but facing loaded brackets, small differences in squad depth, rest, and early exits for non-favorites sustain the bunched pricing among the named players.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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