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icon for Проголосует ли Мичиган за пересмотр Конституции штата?

Проголосует ли Мичиган за пересмотр Конституции штата?

icon for Проголосует ли Мичиган за пересмотр Конституции штата?

Проголосует ли Мичиган за пересмотр Конституции штата?

Да

5% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

5% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026, asking whether to convene a constitutional convention in 2027 for a full rewrite of the 1963 state constitution. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 95.5% reflects consistent historical outcomes, with prior automatic questions defeated by margins of 67-77% in 1978, 1994, and 2010. An organized opposition effort, including the Protect MI Constitution from Special Interests committee that has raised over $800,000, emphasizes concerns over cost, delegate accountability, and potential for targeted policy changes. Limited organized support and the structural requirement for majority approval of the convention call further reinforce the current implied probability. Late developments such as major endorsements, polling shifts on related issues like redistricting or term limits, or unusually high turnout could still alter the result before election day.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Объем
$7,240
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026, asking whether to convene a constitutional convention in 2027 for a full rewrite of the 1963 state constitution. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 95.5% reflects consistent historical outcomes, with prior automatic questions defeated by margins of 67-77% in 1978, 1994, and 2010. An organized opposition effort, including the Protect MI Constitution from Special Interests committee that has raised over $800,000, emphasizes concerns over cost, delegate accountability, and potential for targeted policy changes. Limited organized support and the structural requirement for majority approval of the convention call further reinforce the current implied probability. Late developments such as major endorsements, polling shifts on related issues like redistricting or term limits, or unusually high turnout could still alter the result before election day.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Объем
$7,240
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).

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