Aoun has repeatedly conditioned any direct contact with Netanyahu on first reaching an agreement, such as a non-aggression pact or expanded ceasefire framework covering borders, prisoner exchanges, and southern Lebanon withdrawals. Recent delegation talks in Rome produced reported progress on those issues, while Aoun's July White House visit with Trump focused on U.S. pressure for Israeli pullbacks and Lebanese army support. Traders assign low probability to a leader-level call by year-end because indirect channels and U.S. mediation remain the primary vehicles, with no scheduled bilateral meeting and Aoun's public stance against premature engagement. Ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah-related tensions further complicate timelines for direct diplomacy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$52,444 Объем
31 декабря
19%
$52,444 Объем
31 декабря
19%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Aoun has repeatedly conditioned any direct contact with Netanyahu on first reaching an agreement, such as a non-aggression pact or expanded ceasefire framework covering borders, prisoner exchanges, and southern Lebanon withdrawals. Recent delegation talks in Rome produced reported progress on those issues, while Aoun's July White House visit with Trump focused on U.S. pressure for Israeli pullbacks and Lebanese army support. Traders assign low probability to a leader-level call by year-end because indirect channels and U.S. mediation remain the primary vehicles, with no scheduled bilateral meeting and Aoun's public stance against premature engagement. Ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah-related tensions further complicate timelines for direct diplomacy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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