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Будут ли Северная и Южная Корея вести прямые переговоры...?

icon for Будут ли Северная и Южная Корея вести прямые переговоры...?

Будут ли Северная и Южная Корея вести прямые переговоры...?

дек. 31

дек. 31

$114,551 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$114,551 Объем

Polymarket

31 декабря

$30,799 Объем

25%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.South Korean President Lee Jae Myung’s August 15, 2026, Liberation Day call for direct dialogue to establish peaceful coexistence and replace the 1953 armistice with a formal peace regime represents the latest in a series of unilateral overtures from Seoul. North Korea has maintained its “two hostile states” doctrine since late 2023, repeatedly rejecting inter-Korean engagement while prioritizing recognition of its nuclear status in talks with Washington and deepening military-economic ties with Russia and China. Lee’s administration has suspended propaganda broadcasts and proposed multilateral formats, yet Pyongyang continues to condition any movement on U.S. policy shifts rather than bilateral steps. Upcoming forums such as the UN General Assembly and APEC summit could provide testing grounds for renewed contact, though North Korea’s exclusion of Seoul from its preferred diplomatic tracks limits near-term prospects for direct talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$114,551
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.South Korean President Lee Jae Myung’s August 15, 2026, Liberation Day call for direct dialogue to establish peaceful coexistence and replace the 1953 armistice with a formal peace regime represents the latest in a series of unilateral overtures from Seoul. North Korea has maintained its “two hostile states” doctrine since late 2023, repeatedly rejecting inter-Korean engagement while prioritizing recognition of its nuclear status in talks with Washington and deepening military-economic ties with Russia and China. Lee’s administration has suspended propaganda broadcasts and proposed multilateral formats, yet Pyongyang continues to condition any movement on U.S. policy shifts rather than bilateral steps. Upcoming forums such as the UN General Assembly and APEC summit could provide testing grounds for renewed contact, though North Korea’s exclusion of Seoul from its preferred diplomatic tracks limits near-term prospects for direct talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$114,551
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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«Будут ли Северная и Южная Корея вести прямые переговоры...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 25%, за ним следует «30 июня» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 25¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Будут ли Северная и Южная Корея вести прямые переговоры...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $114.6K с момента запуска рынка Nov 5, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Будут ли Северная и Южная Корея вести прямые переговоры...?» — «31 декабря» с 25%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 июня» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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