Russian forces have maintained steady but incremental pressure on Bilytske in Donetsk Oblast along the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis, using infantry infiltrations, artillery, and drone strikes amid a broader 2026 offensive characterized by low rates of confirmed territorial gains. As of mid-August 2026, geolocated reporting and maps from ISW and DeepState indicate Russian units striking positions inside or near the settlement and advancing on adjacent lines such as Rodynske, yet Ukrainian forces continue to hold presence in the area with no verified full capture. The town’s position as a potential logistics node south of Dobropillia makes it a tactical objective in efforts to threaten Ukrainian positions around the “fortress belt,” though overall Russian advances remain limited by high casualties and Ukrainian defensive adaptations. Market resolution typically hinges on authoritative maps confirming control of specific coordinates. Ongoing operations in the sector, combined with Ukrainian strikes elsewhere on Russian logistics, continue to shape trader assessments of near-term capture timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРоссия захватит Билицкое...?
Россия захватит Билицкое...?
$312,931 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
31 августа
13%
30 сентября
34%
31 декабря
75%
$312,931 Объем
31 августа
$34,969 Объем
13%
30 сентября
$19,682 Объем
34%
31 декабря
$11,606 Объем
75%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have maintained steady but incremental pressure on Bilytske in Donetsk Oblast along the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis, using infantry infiltrations, artillery, and drone strikes amid a broader 2026 offensive characterized by low rates of confirmed territorial gains. As of mid-August 2026, geolocated reporting and maps from ISW and DeepState indicate Russian units striking positions inside or near the settlement and advancing on adjacent lines such as Rodynske, yet Ukrainian forces continue to hold presence in the area with no verified full capture. The town’s position as a potential logistics node south of Dobropillia makes it a tactical objective in efforts to threaten Ukrainian positions around the “fortress belt,” though overall Russian advances remain limited by high casualties and Ukrainian defensive adaptations. Market resolution typically hinges on authoritative maps confirming control of specific coordinates. Ongoing operations in the sector, combined with Ukrainian strikes elsewhere on Russian logistics, continue to shape trader assessments of near-term capture timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Объем
$312,931Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have maintained steady but incremental pressure on Bilytske in Donetsk Oblast along the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis, using infantry infiltrations, artillery, and drone strikes amid a broader 2026 offensive characterized by low rates of confirmed territorial gains. As of mid-August 2026, geolocated reporting and maps from ISW and DeepState indicate Russian units striking positions inside or near the settlement and advancing on adjacent lines such as Rodynske, yet Ukrainian forces continue to hold presence in the area with no verified full capture. The town’s position as a potential logistics node south of Dobropillia makes it a tactical objective in efforts to threaten Ukrainian positions around the “fortress belt,” though overall Russian advances remain limited by high casualties and Ukrainian defensive adaptations. Market resolution typically hinges on authoritative maps confirming control of specific coordinates. Ongoing operations in the sector, combined with Ukrainian strikes elsewhere on Russian logistics, continue to shape trader assessments of near-term capture timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Объем
$312,931Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have maintained steady but incremental pressure on Bilytske in Donetsk Oblast along the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis, using infantry infiltrations, artillery, and drone strikes amid a broader 2026 offensive characterized by low rates of confirmed territorial gains. As of mid-August 2026, geolocated reporting and maps from ISW and DeepState indicate Russian units striking positions inside or near the settlement and advancing on adjacent lines such as Rodynske, yet Ukrainian forces continue to hold presence in the area with no verified full capture. The town’s position as a potential logistics node south of Dobropillia makes it a tactical objective in efforts to threaten Ukrainian positions around the “fortress belt,” though overall Russian advances remain limited by high casualties and Ukrainian defensive adaptations. Market resolution typically hinges on authoritative maps confirming control of specific coordinates. Ongoing operations in the sector, combined with Ukrainian strikes elsewhere on Russian logistics, continue to shape trader assessments of near-term capture timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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