Russian forces seized Novodmytrivka, a small settlement in Donetsk Oblast north of Kurakhove, in November 2024 during intensified offensive operations along the Pokrovsk axis. The Russian Defense Ministry announced full control on November 22, citing advances from nearby positions amid heavy fighting, while Ukrainian reporting noted ongoing clashes without immediate confirmation or denial. No verified reports since then indicate Ukrainian forces have retaken the village. In the broader conflict as of September 2026, Russian units continue limited tactical gains in Donetsk sectors while Ukrainian forces conduct counteroffensives elsewhere, including clearing operations north of Lyman that reclaimed territory and disrupted Russian salients. Any market resolution hinges on confirmed control status by the specified deadline and verification amid ongoing artillery, drone, and infantry activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРоссия захватит Новодмитривку...?
Россия захватит Новодмитривку...?
$95,009 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
3%
$95,009 Объем
30 сентября
$32,591 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.756666° N, 35.372420° E in Novodmytrivka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka3.png
Intersection Location in Novodmytrivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka2.png
Novodmytrivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka1.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/aeukB8q42paroXdk9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces seized Novodmytrivka, a small settlement in Donetsk Oblast north of Kurakhove, in November 2024 during intensified offensive operations along the Pokrovsk axis. The Russian Defense Ministry announced full control on November 22, citing advances from nearby positions amid heavy fighting, while Ukrainian reporting noted ongoing clashes without immediate confirmation or denial. No verified reports since then indicate Ukrainian forces have retaken the village. In the broader conflict as of September 2026, Russian units continue limited tactical gains in Donetsk sectors while Ukrainian forces conduct counteroffensives elsewhere, including clearing operations north of Lyman that reclaimed territory and disrupted Russian salients. Any market resolution hinges on confirmed control status by the specified deadline and verification amid ongoing artillery, drone, and infantry activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.756666° N, 35.372420° E in Novodmytrivka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka3.png
Intersection Location in Novodmytrivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka2.png
Novodmytrivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka1.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/aeukB8q42paroXdk9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka3.png
Intersection Location in Novodmytrivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka2.png
Novodmytrivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka1.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/aeukB8q42paroXdk9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Объем
$95,009Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.756666° N, 35.372420° E in Novodmytrivka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka3.png
Intersection Location in Novodmytrivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka2.png
Novodmytrivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka1.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/aeukB8q42paroXdk9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces seized Novodmytrivka, a small settlement in Donetsk Oblast north of Kurakhove, in November 2024 during intensified offensive operations along the Pokrovsk axis. The Russian Defense Ministry announced full control on November 22, citing advances from nearby positions amid heavy fighting, while Ukrainian reporting noted ongoing clashes without immediate confirmation or denial. No verified reports since then indicate Ukrainian forces have retaken the village. In the broader conflict as of September 2026, Russian units continue limited tactical gains in Donetsk sectors while Ukrainian forces conduct counteroffensives elsewhere, including clearing operations north of Lyman that reclaimed territory and disrupted Russian salients. Any market resolution hinges on confirmed control status by the specified deadline and verification amid ongoing artillery, drone, and infantry activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.756666° N, 35.372420° E in Novodmytrivka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka3.png
Intersection Location in Novodmytrivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka2.png
Novodmytrivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka1.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/aeukB8q42paroXdk9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka3.png
Intersection Location in Novodmytrivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka2.png
Novodmytrivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Novodmytrivka1.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/aeukB8q42paroXdk9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Объем
$95,009Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Russian forces seized Novodmytrivka, a small settlement in Donetsk Oblast north of Kurakhove, in November 2024 during intensified offensive operations along the Pokrovsk axis. The Russian Defense Ministry announced full control on November 22, citing advances from nearby positions amid heavy fighting, while Ukrainian reporting noted ongoing clashes without immediate confirmation or denial. No verified reports since then indicate Ukrainian forces have retaken the village. In the broader conflict as of September 2026, Russian units continue limited tactical gains in Donetsk sectors while Ukrainian forces conduct counteroffensives elsewhere, including clearing operations north of Lyman that reclaimed territory and disrupted Russian salients. Any market resolution hinges on confirmed control status by the specified deadline and verification amid ongoing artillery, drone, and infantry activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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