Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal are the primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full acquisition in 2026. Stripe and the private-equity firm submitted a $60.50-per-share offer in July valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion, which PayPal initially deemed insufficient; talks have since advanced with discussions of a higher price, according to recent Wall Street Journal reporting. These developments follow February indications of Stripe’s interest in acquiring all or parts of PayPal amid the target’s earnings pressure, CEO transition, and strategic review. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital-backed odds, prices in a reasonable chance of resolution by year-end while acknowledging execution risks around valuation, financing, and regulatory review.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$71,670 Объем
$71,670 Объем
Да
$71,670 Объем
$71,670 Объем
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal are the primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full acquisition in 2026. Stripe and the private-equity firm submitted a $60.50-per-share offer in July valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion, which PayPal initially deemed insufficient; talks have since advanced with discussions of a higher price, according to recent Wall Street Journal reporting. These developments follow February indications of Stripe’s interest in acquiring all or parts of PayPal amid the target’s earnings pressure, CEO transition, and strategic review. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital-backed odds, prices in a reasonable chance of resolution by year-end while acknowledging execution risks around valuation, financing, and regulatory review.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы