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icon for Изменится ли состав команды «Аврора» до сентября?

Изменится ли состав команды «Аврора» до сентября?

icon for Изменится ли состав команды «Аврора» до сентября?

Изменится ли состав команды «Аврора» до сентября?

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by August 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, Wicadia, woxic, soulfly. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Team Aurora's current Turkish core, featuring MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, and soulfly, delivered a surprise semifinal run at the June 2026 IEM Cologne Major, strengthening arguments for roster stability amid strong national form and fan support. Persistent rumors of an international rebuild—potentially adding players like molodoy or Frozen post-major—create balanced trader sentiment, with the "No" outcome at 50.5% reflecting uncertainty over whether changes occur before September deadlines. Key variables include official transfer announcements, performance in upcoming events, or confirmation that the successful lineup remains intact through the summer window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by August 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, Wicadia, woxic, soulfly. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 12:23 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by August 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, Wicadia, woxic, soulfly. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by August 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, Wicadia, woxic, soulfly. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Team Aurora's current Turkish core, featuring MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, and soulfly, delivered a surprise semifinal run at the June 2026 IEM Cologne Major, strengthening arguments for roster stability amid strong national form and fan support. Persistent rumors of an international rebuild—potentially adding players like molodoy or Frozen post-major—create balanced trader sentiment, with the "No" outcome at 50.5% reflecting uncertainty over whether changes occur before September deadlines. Key variables include official transfer announcements, performance in upcoming events, or confirmation that the successful lineup remains intact through the summer window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by August 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, Wicadia, woxic, soulfly. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 12:23 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by August 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, Wicadia, woxic, soulfly. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Изменится ли состав команды «Аврора» до сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 50% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 50¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Изменится ли состав команды «Аврора» до сентября?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 23, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Изменится ли состав команды «Аврора» до сентября?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Изменится ли состав команды «Аврора» до сентября?» составляет 50% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 50%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Изменится ли состав команды «Аврора» до сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.