Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 83% implied probability for Tesla opening Robovan orders before 2027, driven by the absence of prototypes, supplier reports, or official timelines since its October 2024 unveiling as a 20-passenger autonomous van concept at the We, Robot event. Tesla has shifted resources to Cybercab robotaxi production ramp-up at Giga Texas in April 2026, prioritizing Full Self-Driving (FSD) validation and regulatory approvals for unsupervised autonomy in select cities. No recent Robovan-specific demonstrations or teasers have emerged, amid Tesla's track record of delayed vehicle launches like the Roadster and Semi. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 2026 earnings for FSD progress updates and potential robotaxi fleet expansions, though Robovan remains a lower-priority follow-on.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Tesla открывать заказы на Robovan до 2027 года?
Будет ли Tesla открывать заказы на Robovan до 2027 года?
Да
$31,485 Объем
$31,485 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$31,485 Объем
$31,485 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 83% implied probability for Tesla opening Robovan orders before 2027, driven by the absence of prototypes, supplier reports, or official timelines since its October 2024 unveiling as a 20-passenger autonomous van concept at the We, Robot event. Tesla has shifted resources to Cybercab robotaxi production ramp-up at Giga Texas in April 2026, prioritizing Full Self-Driving (FSD) validation and regulatory approvals for unsupervised autonomy in select cities. No recent Robovan-specific demonstrations or teasers have emerged, amid Tesla's track record of delayed vehicle launches like the Roadster and Semi. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 2026 earnings for FSD progress updates and potential robotaxi fleet expansions, though Robovan remains a lower-priority follow-on.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Объем
$31,485Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 83% implied probability for Tesla opening Robovan orders before 2027, driven by the absence of prototypes, supplier reports, or official timelines since its October 2024 unveiling as a 20-passenger autonomous van concept at the We, Robot event. Tesla has shifted resources to Cybercab robotaxi production ramp-up at Giga Texas in April 2026, prioritizing Full Self-Driving (FSD) validation and regulatory approvals for unsupervised autonomy in select cities. No recent Robovan-specific demonstrations or teasers have emerged, amid Tesla's track record of delayed vehicle launches like the Roadster and Semi. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 2026 earnings for FSD progress updates and potential robotaxi fleet expansions, though Robovan remains a lower-priority follow-on.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$31,485Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 83% implied probability for Tesla opening Robovan orders before 2027, driven by the absence of prototypes, supplier reports, or official timelines since its October 2024 unveiling as a 20-passenger autonomous van concept at the We, Robot event. Tesla has shifted resources to Cybercab robotaxi production ramp-up at Giga Texas in April 2026, prioritizing Full Self-Driving (FSD) validation and regulatory approvals for unsupervised autonomy in select cities. No recent Robovan-specific demonstrations or teasers have emerged, amid Tesla's track record of delayed vehicle launches like the Roadster and Semi. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 2026 earnings for FSD progress updates and potential robotaxi fleet expansions, though Robovan remains a lower-priority follow-on.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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