Republicans hold a 53-seat Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, enabling simple-majority procedural changes via the nuclear option, as demonstrated in 2025 actions on nominations, Congressional Review Act resolutions, and budget baselines. Full elimination of the 60-vote legislative filibuster has faced internal resistance despite President Trump's repeated calls, including during the 2025 shutdown impasse, with leadership prioritizing targeted exceptions over a blanket rules overhaul. March 2026 discussions around a voter restriction bill revived the option but produced no broad change. The November 2026 elections, which could shift chamber control, and ongoing legislative priorities remain key variables that could influence any future cloture threshold adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$560,617 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
11%
$560,617 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$5,656 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-seat Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, enabling simple-majority procedural changes via the nuclear option, as demonstrated in 2025 actions on nominations, Congressional Review Act resolutions, and budget baselines. Full elimination of the 60-vote legislative filibuster has faced internal resistance despite President Trump's repeated calls, including during the 2025 shutdown impasse, with leadership prioritizing targeted exceptions over a blanket rules overhaul. March 2026 discussions around a voter restriction bill revived the option but produced no broad change. The November 2026 elections, which could shift chamber control, and ongoing legislative priorities remain key variables that could influence any future cloture threshold adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Открытие рынка: Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$560,617Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-seat Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, enabling simple-majority procedural changes via the nuclear option, as demonstrated in 2025 actions on nominations, Congressional Review Act resolutions, and budget baselines. Full elimination of the 60-vote legislative filibuster has faced internal resistance despite President Trump's repeated calls, including during the 2025 shutdown impasse, with leadership prioritizing targeted exceptions over a blanket rules overhaul. March 2026 discussions around a voter restriction bill revived the option but produced no broad change. The November 2026 elections, which could shift chamber control, and ongoing legislative priorities remain key variables that could influence any future cloture threshold adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Объем
$560,617Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republicans hold a 53-seat Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, enabling simple-majority procedural changes via the nuclear option, as demonstrated in 2025 actions on nominations, Congressional Review Act resolutions, and budget baselines. Full elimination of the 60-vote legislative filibuster has faced internal resistance despite President Trump's repeated calls, including during the 2025 shutdown impasse, with leadership prioritizing targeted exceptions over a blanket rules overhaul. March 2026 discussions around a voter restriction bill revived the option but produced no broad change. The November 2026 elections, which could shift chamber control, and ongoing legislative priorities remain key variables that could influence any future cloture threshold adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы