The tentative agreement reached Monday evening between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five LIRR unions ended the three-day strike that began at midnight Saturday, May 16, after contract talks collapsed over wage increases and healthcare costs for workers who had gone without raises since 2022. Limited service is scheduled to resume at noon Tuesday, May 19, following ratification steps, with full operations expected shortly thereafter. Negotiations had stalled on retroactive pay adjustments and fourth-year terms, prompting picketing across key stations and alternative shuttle arrangements for commuters. This rapid resolution after initial deadlock highlights the pressure from daily ridership disruption on nearly 300,000 passengers, directly shaping trader assessments of strike duration timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
$18,880 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
May 19
100%
May 20
100%
May 21
100%
May 22
100%
May 23
100%
May 24
100%
May 31
100%
$18,880 Объем
May 19
$3,466 Объем
100%
May 20
$2,901 Объем
100%
May 21
$1,987 Объем
100%
May 22
$2,862 Объем
100%
May 23
$2,921 Объем
100%
May 24
$2,447 Объем
100%
May 31
$2,297 Объем
100%
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tentative agreement reached Monday evening between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five LIRR unions ended the three-day strike that began at midnight Saturday, May 16, after contract talks collapsed over wage increases and healthcare costs for workers who had gone without raises since 2022. Limited service is scheduled to resume at noon Tuesday, May 19, following ratification steps, with full operations expected shortly thereafter. Negotiations had stalled on retroactive pay adjustments and fourth-year terms, prompting picketing across key stations and alternative shuttle arrangements for commuters. This rapid resolution after initial deadlock highlights the pressure from daily ridership disruption on nearly 300,000 passengers, directly shaping trader assessments of strike duration timelines.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Объем
$18,880Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tentative agreement reached Monday evening between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five LIRR unions ended the three-day strike that began at midnight Saturday, May 16, after contract talks collapsed over wage increases and healthcare costs for workers who had gone without raises since 2022. Limited service is scheduled to resume at noon Tuesday, May 19, following ratification steps, with full operations expected shortly thereafter. Negotiations had stalled on retroactive pay adjustments and fourth-year terms, prompting picketing across key stations and alternative shuttle arrangements for commuters. This rapid resolution after initial deadlock highlights the pressure from daily ridership disruption on nearly 300,000 passengers, directly shaping trader assessments of strike duration timelines.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$18,880Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The tentative agreement reached Monday evening between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five LIRR unions ended the three-day strike that began at midnight Saturday, May 16, after contract talks collapsed over wage increases and healthcare costs for workers who had gone without raises since 2022. Limited service is scheduled to resume at noon Tuesday, May 19, following ratification steps, with full operations expected shortly thereafter. Negotiations had stalled on retroactive pay adjustments and fourth-year terms, prompting picketing across key stations and alternative shuttle arrangements for commuters. This rapid resolution after initial deadlock highlights the pressure from daily ridership disruption on nearly 300,000 passengers, directly shaping trader assessments of strike duration timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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