Trader consensus heavily favors NBA alteration of draft lottery rules at 78.5% implied probability for "Yes," driven by Commissioner Adam Silver's recent endorsement of the "3-2-1" anti-tanking proposal disclosed to all 30 GMs on April 28. This frontrunner plan expands the lottery to 16 teams, flattens odds with a relegation zone penalizing the bottom three finishers via fewer balls for the No. 1 pick, bans consecutive top picks or three straight top-fives, and empowers the league to adjust odds for blatant tanking—set for Board of Governors vote by late May ahead of the 2027 draft. Persistent late-season tanking incentives and subpar on-court product have fueled owner momentum, building on years of reform discussions to promote competitive balance.