Trader consensus around a 74% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election stems primarily from early prediction market and polling dynamics favoring male frontrunners. Republican Vice President JD Vance leads overall nomination and general-election markets at roughly 25%, followed by other men such as Marco Rubio, while the open Democratic field shows Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg atop or near the top of aggregates ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris. Gretchen Whitmer has signaled she will not run, and post-2024 Democratic rebuilding has not yet produced a dominant female contender capable of securing both the nomination and general-election victory. The 2026 midterms and candidate announcements remain key variables that could alter positioning before primaries begin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$13,151 Объем
$13,151 Объем
Да
$13,151 Объем
$13,151 Объем
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Открытие рынка: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus around a 74% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election stems primarily from early prediction market and polling dynamics favoring male frontrunners. Republican Vice President JD Vance leads overall nomination and general-election markets at roughly 25%, followed by other men such as Marco Rubio, while the open Democratic field shows Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg atop or near the top of aggregates ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris. Gretchen Whitmer has signaled she will not run, and post-2024 Democratic rebuilding has not yet produced a dominant female contender capable of securing both the nomination and general-election victory. The 2026 midterms and candidate announcements remain key variables that could alter positioning before primaries begin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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