The Philippine Senate's ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began July 6 after House approval of articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and threats against President Marcos, has produced trader consensus favoring acquittal. Senate composition and absences among Duterte-aligned members, including several facing separate legal issues, make securing the required two-thirds vote (16 of 24) challenging amid ongoing disputes over whether the threshold applies to all members or only participating senator-judges. Recent proceedings, including testimony from retired Supreme Court justices on September 16 regarding vote calculations and procedural rules, underscore these institutional hurdles. Political dynamics tied to the Marcos-Duterte rivalry and Duterte's positioning for the 2028 presidential race further support expectations that conviction remains unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
37% вероятность
$13,245 Объем
$13,245 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
37% вероятность
$13,245 Объем
$13,245 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began July 6 after House approval of articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and threats against President Marcos, has produced trader consensus favoring acquittal. Senate composition and absences among Duterte-aligned members, including several facing separate legal issues, make securing the required two-thirds vote (16 of 24) challenging amid ongoing disputes over whether the threshold applies to all members or only participating senator-judges. Recent proceedings, including testimony from retired Supreme Court justices on September 16 regarding vote calculations and procedural rules, underscore these institutional hurdles. Political dynamics tied to the Marcos-Duterte rivalry and Duterte's positioning for the 2028 presidential race further support expectations that conviction remains unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Объем
$13,245Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began July 6 after House approval of articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and threats against President Marcos, has produced trader consensus favoring acquittal. Senate composition and absences among Duterte-aligned members, including several facing separate legal issues, make securing the required two-thirds vote (16 of 24) challenging amid ongoing disputes over whether the threshold applies to all members or only participating senator-judges. Recent proceedings, including testimony from retired Supreme Court justices on September 16 regarding vote calculations and procedural rules, underscore these institutional hurdles. Political dynamics tied to the Marcos-Duterte rivalry and Duterte's positioning for the 2028 presidential race further support expectations that conviction remains unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$13,245Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The Philippine Senate's ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began July 6 after House approval of articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and threats against President Marcos, has produced trader consensus favoring acquittal. Senate composition and absences among Duterte-aligned members, including several facing separate legal issues, make securing the required two-thirds vote (16 of 24) challenging amid ongoing disputes over whether the threshold applies to all members or only participating senator-judges. Recent proceedings, including testimony from retired Supreme Court justices on September 16 regarding vote calculations and procedural rules, underscore these institutional hurdles. Political dynamics tied to the Marcos-Duterte rivalry and Duterte's positioning for the 2028 presidential race further support expectations that conviction remains unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы