Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's current estimated $90 million level—modest after recent rollovers on May 11 and 13 drawings with no grand prize winners—leaving it vastly short of $1 billion. With only seven drawings remaining through the May 31 finale (next on Saturday, May 16), historical growth patterns add roughly $20-50 million per rollover early on, accelerating modestly with ticket sales but rarely exceeding $400-500 million in such a short span absent a prolonged no-winner streak. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects precise math over lottery hype, as billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive rollovers. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly zero winners despite 1-in-292-million odds and unprecedented sales surges, though probability remains negligible amid typical mid-sized jackpot dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДостигнет ли джекпот Powerball $ 1 млрд к 31 мая?
Достигнет ли джекпот Powerball $ 1 млрд к 31 мая?
Да
Да
This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's current estimated $90 million level—modest after recent rollovers on May 11 and 13 drawings with no grand prize winners—leaving it vastly short of $1 billion. With only seven drawings remaining through the May 31 finale (next on Saturday, May 16), historical growth patterns add roughly $20-50 million per rollover early on, accelerating modestly with ticket sales but rarely exceeding $400-500 million in such a short span absent a prolonged no-winner streak. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects precise math over lottery hype, as billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive rollovers. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly zero winners despite 1-in-292-million odds and unprecedented sales surges, though probability remains negligible amid typical mid-sized jackpot dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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