Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement endorsed by the UN Security Council before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a binding UNSC resolution, expired in August without producing a comprehensive deal amid renewed hostilities and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz. As of September 2026, the conflict has settled into a prolonged war of attrition. Most recently, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution on September 17 seeking to extend UN monitoring of Iran’s nuclear program, highlighting persistent divisions among permanent Security Council members. These factors have led traders to assign an 86.5% probability to no endorsing resolution passing by the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРезолюция СБ ООН, одобряющая окончательную американо-иранскую сделку до 31 декабря?
Резолюция СБ ООН, одобряющая окончательную американо-иранскую сделку до 31 декабря?
Да
14% вероятность
$244,059 Объем
$244,059 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
14% вероятность
$244,059 Объем
$244,059 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement endorsed by the UN Security Council before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a binding UNSC resolution, expired in August without producing a comprehensive deal amid renewed hostilities and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz. As of September 2026, the conflict has settled into a prolonged war of attrition. Most recently, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution on September 17 seeking to extend UN monitoring of Iran’s nuclear program, highlighting persistent divisions among permanent Security Council members. These factors have led traders to assign an 86.5% probability to no endorsing resolution passing by the deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Объем
$244,059Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement endorsed by the UN Security Council before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a binding UNSC resolution, expired in August without producing a comprehensive deal amid renewed hostilities and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz. As of September 2026, the conflict has settled into a prolonged war of attrition. Most recently, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution on September 17 seeking to extend UN monitoring of Iran’s nuclear program, highlighting persistent divisions among permanent Security Council members. These factors have led traders to assign an 86.5% probability to no endorsing resolution passing by the deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$244,059Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement endorsed by the UN Security Council before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a binding UNSC resolution, expired in August without producing a comprehensive deal amid renewed hostilities and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz. As of September 2026, the conflict has settled into a prolonged war of attrition. Most recently, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution on September 17 seeking to extend UN monitoring of Iran’s nuclear program, highlighting persistent divisions among permanent Security Council members. These factors have led traders to assign an 86.5% probability to no endorsing resolution passing by the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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