Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.6% on President Trump insulting Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman by May 15, reflecting no qualifying public criticism in the eight days since the market launched amid escalating Iran war tensions. Saudi Arabia's May 7 denial of U.S. base access and airspace for Strait of Hormuz operations prompted Trump to reverse plans without personal retorts, prioritizing alliance stability for oil market coordination and counter-Iran diplomacy. Historical rapport from Trump's first term, mutual Gulf security interests, and MBS's anti-Iran rhetoric reinforce restraint. A last-hour statement, social media barb, or leaked hot-mic comment before midnight resolution remains the sole realistic upset scenario.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill Trump insult MBS by May 15?
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?
$23,646 Объем
$23,646 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
$23,646 Объем
$23,646 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.6% on President Trump insulting Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman by May 15, reflecting no qualifying public criticism in the eight days since the market launched amid escalating Iran war tensions. Saudi Arabia's May 7 denial of U.S. base access and airspace for Strait of Hormuz operations prompted Trump to reverse plans without personal retorts, prioritizing alliance stability for oil market coordination and counter-Iran diplomacy. Historical rapport from Trump's first term, mutual Gulf security interests, and MBS's anti-Iran rhetoric reinforce restraint. A last-hour statement, social media barb, or leaked hot-mic comment before midnight resolution remains the sole realistic upset scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Объем
$23,646Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.6% on President Trump insulting Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman by May 15, reflecting no qualifying public criticism in the eight days since the market launched amid escalating Iran war tensions. Saudi Arabia's May 7 denial of U.S. base access and airspace for Strait of Hormuz operations prompted Trump to reverse plans without personal retorts, prioritizing alliance stability for oil market coordination and counter-Iran diplomacy. Historical rapport from Trump's first term, mutual Gulf security interests, and MBS's anti-Iran rhetoric reinforce restraint. A last-hour statement, social media barb, or leaked hot-mic comment before midnight resolution remains the sole realistic upset scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$23,646Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.6% on President Trump insulting Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman by May 15, reflecting no qualifying public criticism in the eight days since the market launched amid escalating Iran war tensions. Saudi Arabia's May 7 denial of U.S. base access and airspace for Strait of Hormuz operations prompted Trump to reverse plans without personal retorts, prioritizing alliance stability for oil market coordination and counter-Iran diplomacy. Historical rapport from Trump's first term, mutual Gulf security interests, and MBS's anti-Iran rhetoric reinforce restraint. A last-hour statement, social media barb, or leaked hot-mic comment before midnight resolution remains the sole realistic upset scenario.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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