Traders assign a 98.8% implied probability to “No” on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30 because the golfer faces no active federal charges, convictions, or investigations that would justify executive clemency. Woods continues his PGA Tour schedule without legal overhang, and recent major performances plus routine injury-management updates show no connection to White House priorities. Historical head-to-head patterns with past off-course issues and current standings in the FedEx Cup standings further separate golf matters from pardon considerations. Realistic scenarios that could still move the market include an unforeseen federal case or sudden policy shift, though both remain distant given the present landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$186,446 Объем
$186,446 Объем
Да
$186,446 Объем
$186,446 Объем
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98.8% implied probability to “No” on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30 because the golfer faces no active federal charges, convictions, or investigations that would justify executive clemency. Woods continues his PGA Tour schedule without legal overhang, and recent major performances plus routine injury-management updates show no connection to White House priorities. Historical head-to-head patterns with past off-course issues and current standings in the FedEx Cup standings further separate golf matters from pardon considerations. Realistic scenarios that could still move the market include an unforeseen federal case or sudden policy shift, though both remain distant given the present landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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