Trump’s expressed openness to speaking with Mojtaba Khamenei in early June 2026 followed the February–June US–Israel–Iran conflict that killed Ali Khamenei and installed his son as supreme leader, yet Iranian officials quickly labeled any such meeting unrealistic and called the US president’s commitments worthless amid repeated MoU violations and Strait of Hormuz disputes. Ongoing economic pressure, nuclear and proxy tensions, and Iran’s preference for lower-level channels have kept direct leader-to-leader contact off the table. Traders price the December 31, 2026 resolution at roughly 5 percent yes, reflecting these diplomatic barriers and the absence of scheduled summits or confirmed back-channel progress that would be required to shift the outcome before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПоговорит ли Трамп с Мойтабой Хаменеи...?
$621,067 Объем
31 декабря
5%
$621,067 Объем
31 декабря
5%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s expressed openness to speaking with Mojtaba Khamenei in early June 2026 followed the February–June US–Israel–Iran conflict that killed Ali Khamenei and installed his son as supreme leader, yet Iranian officials quickly labeled any such meeting unrealistic and called the US president’s commitments worthless amid repeated MoU violations and Strait of Hormuz disputes. Ongoing economic pressure, nuclear and proxy tensions, and Iran’s preference for lower-level channels have kept direct leader-to-leader contact off the table. Traders price the December 31, 2026 resolution at roughly 5 percent yes, reflecting these diplomatic barriers and the absence of scheduled summits or confirmed back-channel progress that would be required to shift the outcome before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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