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Геополитика·ОАЭ

Выйдут ли ОАЭ из Совета сотрудничества стран Персидского залива в 2026 году?

icon for Выйдут ли ОАЭ из Совета сотрудничества стран Персидского залива в 2026 году?
Геополитика·ОАЭ

Выйдут ли ОАЭ из Совета сотрудничества стран Персидского залива в 2026 году?

Да

8% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

8% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus against UAE departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in 2026 reflects sustained institutional solidarity amid regional tensions from the ongoing US-Israel war on Iran and Iranian retaliatory strikes on GCC states. Despite Abu Dhabi's abrupt OPEC exit announcement on April 28—prompting expert speculation on broader realignments due to perceived failures in mutual defense—the UAE Foreign Minister attended the GCC consultative summit in Jeddah the same day, signaling commitment. GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi reaffirmed full support for UAE sovereignty claims against Iran on May 6, countering fragmentation narratives from Saudi-UAE frictions. Absent official withdrawal statements or procedural steps, structural economic and security ties underpin the 92.5% "No" implied probability, though escalation or diplomatic breakdowns could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,778
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus against UAE departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in 2026 reflects sustained institutional solidarity amid regional tensions from the ongoing US-Israel war on Iran and Iranian retaliatory strikes on GCC states. Despite Abu Dhabi's abrupt OPEC exit announcement on April 28—prompting expert speculation on broader realignments due to perceived failures in mutual defense—the UAE Foreign Minister attended the GCC consultative summit in Jeddah the same day, signaling commitment. GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi reaffirmed full support for UAE sovereignty claims against Iran on May 6, countering fragmentation narratives from Saudi-UAE frictions. Absent official withdrawal statements or procedural steps, structural economic and security ties underpin the 92.5% "No" implied probability, though escalation or diplomatic breakdowns could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,778
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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