Ukrainian forces face sustained Russian pressure around Hryshyne, a settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, where Moscow relies on small-group infiltration tactics and incremental advances to contest control. Ukrainian units have conducted localized counteractions, including drone strikes and clearing operations, but maintain a largely defensive posture in this sector amid broader fighting along the Pokrovsk axis. Recent Ukrainian offensive gains farther north near Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, including cleared territory and disrupted Russian logistics, have not extended to Hryshyne and may reflect resource allocation priorities. High Russian casualties and slower daily territorial gains this year continue to shape assessments of any near-term Ukrainian re-entry into the settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВернется ли Украина в Гришино к...?
$114,538 Объем
30 сентября
7%
$114,538 Объем
30 сентября
7%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces face sustained Russian pressure around Hryshyne, a settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, where Moscow relies on small-group infiltration tactics and incremental advances to contest control. Ukrainian units have conducted localized counteractions, including drone strikes and clearing operations, but maintain a largely defensive posture in this sector amid broader fighting along the Pokrovsk axis. Recent Ukrainian offensive gains farther north near Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, including cleared territory and disrupted Russian logistics, have not extended to Hryshyne and may reflect resource allocation priorities. High Russian casualties and slower daily territorial gains this year continue to shape assessments of any near-term Ukrainian re-entry into the settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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