Ukrainian forces face significant barriers to re-entering Hryshyne, a settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, due to sustained Russian pressure and control over much of the area since mid-2026. Intense fighting earlier in the year featured Russian infiltration attempts, motorcycle and mechanized assaults, and small-arms clashes, with Ukrainian units from the 155th Brigade and 7th Air Assault Corps repelling advances while contesting parts of the village. By summer, field reports indicated Russian forces holding the settlement amid ongoing defensive Ukrainian postures on the Pokrovsk axis. More recent Ukrainian counteroffensives, such as Operation Vivaldi clearing Russian salients north of Lyman, demonstrate improved momentum in select sectors through drone strikes and logistics disruption, yet these gains have not extended to reversing Russian positions near Hryshyne. Trader consensus reflects this localized Russian advantage alongside high casualties and manpower constraints on both sides, with any reversal hinging on broader Ukrainian resource shifts or Russian setbacks in the coming weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВернется ли Украина в Гришино к...?
Вернется ли Украина в Гришино к...?
$114,613 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
7%
$114,613 Объем
30 сентября
$97,432 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Hryshyne, Donetsk Oblast, (48.326812° N, 37.081701° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian forces face significant barriers to re-entering Hryshyne, a settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, due to sustained Russian pressure and control over much of the area since mid-2026. Intense fighting earlier in the year featured Russian infiltration attempts, motorcycle and mechanized assaults, and small-arms clashes, with Ukrainian units from the 155th Brigade and 7th Air Assault Corps repelling advances while contesting parts of the village. By summer, field reports indicated Russian forces holding the settlement amid ongoing defensive Ukrainian postures on the Pokrovsk axis. More recent Ukrainian counteroffensives, such as Operation Vivaldi clearing Russian salients north of Lyman, demonstrate improved momentum in select sectors through drone strikes and logistics disruption, yet these gains have not extended to reversing Russian positions near Hryshyne. Trader consensus reflects this localized Russian advantage alongside high casualties and manpower constraints on both sides, with any reversal hinging on broader Ukrainian resource shifts or Russian setbacks in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Hryshyne, Donetsk Oblast, (48.326812° N, 37.081701° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Объем
$114,613Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:12 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Hryshyne, Donetsk Oblast, (48.326812° N, 37.081701° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian forces face significant barriers to re-entering Hryshyne, a settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, due to sustained Russian pressure and control over much of the area since mid-2026. Intense fighting earlier in the year featured Russian infiltration attempts, motorcycle and mechanized assaults, and small-arms clashes, with Ukrainian units from the 155th Brigade and 7th Air Assault Corps repelling advances while contesting parts of the village. By summer, field reports indicated Russian forces holding the settlement amid ongoing defensive Ukrainian postures on the Pokrovsk axis. More recent Ukrainian counteroffensives, such as Operation Vivaldi clearing Russian salients north of Lyman, demonstrate improved momentum in select sectors through drone strikes and logistics disruption, yet these gains have not extended to reversing Russian positions near Hryshyne. Trader consensus reflects this localized Russian advantage alongside high casualties and manpower constraints on both sides, with any reversal hinging on broader Ukrainian resource shifts or Russian setbacks in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Hryshyne, Donetsk Oblast, (48.326812° N, 37.081701° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Объем
$114,613Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:12 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces face significant barriers to re-entering Hryshyne, a settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, due to sustained Russian pressure and control over much of the area since mid-2026. Intense fighting earlier in the year featured Russian infiltration attempts, motorcycle and mechanized assaults, and small-arms clashes, with Ukrainian units from the 155th Brigade and 7th Air Assault Corps repelling advances while contesting parts of the village. By summer, field reports indicated Russian forces holding the settlement amid ongoing defensive Ukrainian postures on the Pokrovsk axis. More recent Ukrainian counteroffensives, such as Operation Vivaldi clearing Russian salients north of Lyman, demonstrate improved momentum in select sectors through drone strikes and logistics disruption, yet these gains have not extended to reversing Russian positions near Hryshyne. Trader consensus reflects this localized Russian advantage alongside high casualties and manpower constraints on both sides, with any reversal hinging on broader Ukrainian resource shifts or Russian setbacks in the coming weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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