Recent security agreements, including the September 2026 U.S.-Denmark pact granting enhanced basing rights and veto power over adversary investments in Greenland without transferring sovereignty, have reinforced trader expectations that formal U.S. annexation remains improbable. Diplomatic resistance from allies, domestic opposition to military acquisition, and legal barriers under international norms have led the administration to pursue expanded influence through treaties and military access rather than outright incorporation. With midterms approaching and competing priorities such as ongoing conflicts, no active congressional or executive pathway to annexation has advanced. Scenarios that could still shift odds include abrupt escalations requiring territorial claims or unforeseen bilateral deals, though these appear constrained by the short timeline remaining in 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
5% вероятность
$157,285 Объем
$157,285 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
5% вероятность
$157,285 Объем
$157,285 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent security agreements, including the September 2026 U.S.-Denmark pact granting enhanced basing rights and veto power over adversary investments in Greenland without transferring sovereignty, have reinforced trader expectations that formal U.S. annexation remains improbable. Diplomatic resistance from allies, domestic opposition to military acquisition, and legal barriers under international norms have led the administration to pursue expanded influence through treaties and military access rather than outright incorporation. With midterms approaching and competing priorities such as ongoing conflicts, no active congressional or executive pathway to annexation has advanced. Scenarios that could still shift odds include abrupt escalations requiring territorial claims or unforeseen bilateral deals, though these appear constrained by the short timeline remaining in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Объем
$157,285Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent security agreements, including the September 2026 U.S.-Denmark pact granting enhanced basing rights and veto power over adversary investments in Greenland without transferring sovereignty, have reinforced trader expectations that formal U.S. annexation remains improbable. Diplomatic resistance from allies, domestic opposition to military acquisition, and legal barriers under international norms have led the administration to pursue expanded influence through treaties and military access rather than outright incorporation. With midterms approaching and competing priorities such as ongoing conflicts, no active congressional or executive pathway to annexation has advanced. Scenarios that could still shift odds include abrupt escalations requiring territorial claims or unforeseen bilateral deals, though these appear constrained by the short timeline remaining in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$157,285Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent security agreements, including the September 2026 U.S.-Denmark pact granting enhanced basing rights and veto power over adversary investments in Greenland without transferring sovereignty, have reinforced trader expectations that formal U.S. annexation remains improbable. Diplomatic resistance from allies, domestic opposition to military acquisition, and legal barriers under international norms have led the administration to pursue expanded influence through treaties and military access rather than outright incorporation. With midterms approaching and competing priorities such as ongoing conflicts, no active congressional or executive pathway to annexation has advanced. Scenarios that could still shift odds include abrupt escalations requiring territorial claims or unforeseen bilateral deals, though these appear constrained by the short timeline remaining in 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы