Recent U.S. inflation data has reinforced hawkish Federal Reserve expectations, widening the interest-rate differential with the Bank of Japan and lifting USD/JPY to the 158–159 area in mid-May 2026. Japan’s Ministry of Finance has responded with repeated yen-supporting interventions near 155–160, while the BOJ continues gradual normalization after its December 2025 hike to 0.75 percent. Market-implied odds for further Fed tightening this year now exceed those for aggressive BOJ easing, sustaining upward pressure on the pair despite forecasts that real-rate convergence could eventually push USD/JPY toward 145–150 by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC and BOJ policy decisions, plus upcoming U.S. CPI and Japanese wage data that will shape expectations for the 2026 rate path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$30,385 Объем
↑200
10%
↑190
12%
↑180
16%
↑175
18%
↑170
24%
↑165
44%
↓150
73%
↓140
22%
↓130
15%
↓120
8%
↓110
9%
$30,385 Объем
↑200
10%
↑190
12%
↑180
16%
↑175
18%
↑170
24%
↑165
44%
↓150
73%
↓140
22%
↓130
15%
↓120
8%
↓110
9%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. inflation data has reinforced hawkish Federal Reserve expectations, widening the interest-rate differential with the Bank of Japan and lifting USD/JPY to the 158–159 area in mid-May 2026. Japan’s Ministry of Finance has responded with repeated yen-supporting interventions near 155–160, while the BOJ continues gradual normalization after its December 2025 hike to 0.75 percent. Market-implied odds for further Fed tightening this year now exceed those for aggressive BOJ easing, sustaining upward pressure on the pair despite forecasts that real-rate convergence could eventually push USD/JPY toward 145–150 by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC and BOJ policy decisions, plus upcoming U.S. CPI and Japanese wage data that will shape expectations for the 2026 rate path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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