President Trump's recent statements, including a graphic depicting Venezuela as the 51st state and comments on its vast oil reserves, sparked brief attention but met firm rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed Venezuela's sovereignty and denied any consideration of statehood. Constitutional barriers—requiring U.S. congressional approval via legislation, plus Venezuelan consent through referendum or equivalent—render the outcome structurally improbable, with no formal diplomatic talks, bills introduced, or annexation precedents like Hawaii or Alaska applicable here. Trader consensus at 96% "No" reflects these legal and political realities amid ongoing U.S. influence post-Maduro's ouster. Only extraordinary scenarios, such as a pro-integration Venezuelan vote or unlikely Senate passage, could alter probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСтанет ли Венесуэла 51-м штатом?
Станет ли Венесуэла 51-м штатом?
Да
$195,097 Объем
$195,097 Объем
Да
$195,097 Объем
$195,097 Объем
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent statements, including a graphic depicting Venezuela as the 51st state and comments on its vast oil reserves, sparked brief attention but met firm rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed Venezuela's sovereignty and denied any consideration of statehood. Constitutional barriers—requiring U.S. congressional approval via legislation, plus Venezuelan consent through referendum or equivalent—render the outcome structurally improbable, with no formal diplomatic talks, bills introduced, or annexation precedents like Hawaii or Alaska applicable here. Trader consensus at 96% "No" reflects these legal and political realities amid ongoing U.S. influence post-Maduro's ouster. Only extraordinary scenarios, such as a pro-integration Venezuelan vote or unlikely Senate passage, could alter probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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