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icon for Уимблдон-2026: топ-10, который можно проиграть в первом раунде? (мужской одиночный разряд)

Уимблдон-2026: топ-10, который можно проиграть в первом раунде? (мужской одиночный разряд)

icon for Уимблдон-2026: топ-10, который можно проиграть в первом раунде? (мужской одиночный разряд)

Уимблдон-2026: топ-10, который можно проиграть в первом раунде? (мужской одиночный разряд)

51% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
51% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Top-10 seeds at Wimbledon 2026 include Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Félix Auger-Aliassime, Ben Shelton, Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli, and Alexander Bublik, with the draw scheduled for release shortly before the June 29 start on grass.** The near-even 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 first-round exit reflects competitive balance between the overall strength of the seeded group—led by Sinner’s dominance and Djokovic’s grass-court pedigree—and Wimbledon’s historical volatility, where early upsets occur more frequently than on other surfaces due to fast conditions, variable bounces, and potential mismatches against qualifiers or grass specialists. Recent precedent from 2025, which saw multiple high seeds eliminated in round one, adds uncertainty, while factors such as pre-tournament form, minor injury concerns for players like Auger-Aliassime or Bublik, and the specific first-round pairings once announced could shift sentiment by highlighting vulnerable matchups or confirming favorable paths for favorites.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
12 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Top-10 seeds at Wimbledon 2026 include Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Félix Auger-Aliassime, Ben Shelton, Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli, and Alexander Bublik, with the draw scheduled for release shortly before the June 29 start on grass.** The near-even 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 first-round exit reflects competitive balance between the overall strength of the seeded group—led by Sinner’s dominance and Djokovic’s grass-court pedigree—and Wimbledon’s historical volatility, where early upsets occur more frequently than on other surfaces due to fast conditions, variable bounces, and potential mismatches against qualifiers or grass specialists. Recent precedent from 2025, which saw multiple high seeds eliminated in round one, adds uncertainty, while factors such as pre-tournament form, minor injury concerns for players like Auger-Aliassime or Bublik, and the specific first-round pairings once announced could shift sentiment by highlighting vulnerable matchups or confirming favorable paths for favorites.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
12 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Уимблдон-2026: топ-10, который можно проиграть в первом раунде? (мужской одиночный разряд)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 51% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 51¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 51%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Уимблдон-2026: топ-10, который можно проиграть в первом раунде? (мужской одиночный разряд)» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Уимблдон-2026: топ-10, который можно проиграть в первом раунде? (мужской одиночный разряд)», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Уимблдон-2026: топ-10, который можно проиграть в первом раунде? (мужской одиночный разряд)» составляет 51% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 51%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Уимблдон-2026: топ-10, который можно проиграть в первом раунде? (мужской одиночный разряд)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.