Incumbent Scott Gillingham leads the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral race with trader consensus reflecting his name recognition and institutional position, though a June Probe Research poll revealed 46 percent of voters oppose his re-election bid and only 19 percent support a second term. A fragmented field of challengers such as Joshua Pagdato, Mazher Alam, Umar Hayat, Michael Vogiatzakis, Don Woodstock, Johnny Calderon, Christopher Clacio, and others has prevented any single alternative from consolidating support. Voter concerns over homelessness and addictions, combined with limited polling on decided preferences, sustain the tight positioning ahead of the October 28 vote. Further candidate withdrawals, debate performances, or targeted campaign announcements could shift probabilities by clarifying viable paths for challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоScott Gillingham 40%
Mazher Alam 7%
Joshua Pagdato 6%
Umar Hayat 6%
Scott Gillingham
40%
Mazher Alam
7%
Joshua Pagdato
6%
Umar Hayat
6%
Michael Vogiatzakis
6%
Don Woodstock
6%
Johnny Calderon
6%
Noah Redden
6%
Zachary Uminski
6%
Christopher Clacio
6%
Scott Gillingham 40%
Mazher Alam 7%
Joshua Pagdato 6%
Umar Hayat 6%
Scott Gillingham
40%
Mazher Alam
7%
Joshua Pagdato
6%
Umar Hayat
6%
Michael Vogiatzakis
6%
Don Woodstock
6%
Johnny Calderon
6%
Noah Redden
6%
Zachary Uminski
6%
Christopher Clacio
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Scott Gillingham leads the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral race with trader consensus reflecting his name recognition and institutional position, though a June Probe Research poll revealed 46 percent of voters oppose his re-election bid and only 19 percent support a second term. A fragmented field of challengers such as Joshua Pagdato, Mazher Alam, Umar Hayat, Michael Vogiatzakis, Don Woodstock, Johnny Calderon, Christopher Clacio, and others has prevented any single alternative from consolidating support. Voter concerns over homelessness and addictions, combined with limited polling on decided preferences, sustain the tight positioning ahead of the October 28 vote. Further candidate withdrawals, debate performances, or targeted campaign announcements could shift probabilities by clarifying viable paths for challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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