The expanded 48-team World Cup format and early group-stage matches have left the bronze boot race tightly bunched, with trader consensus assigning Erling Haaland, Raphinha, Cody Gakpo, and Bukayo Saka the highest implied probabilities around 35-37 percent. Multiple forwards from deep-running sides such as Norway, Brazil, the Netherlands, and England share similar paths to three or more goals, supported by favorable group draws and recent qualifying form. Additional contenders including Romelu Lukaku, Ferran Torres, Kylian Mbappé, Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martínez, Jude Bellingham, and Ousmane Dembélé sit just behind at 32-34.5 percent, reflecting comparable attacking roles and historical scoring rates in major tournaments. Lower-priced options like Lamine Yamal and Vinícius Júnior retain realistic chances if their teams advance deep, while longshots trail due to limited playing time or team expectations. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in the unpredictable nature of goal distribution across the remaining fixtures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWorld Cup: Bronze Boot Winner
Álvaro Morata 28.5%
Julián Álvarez 14%
Lamine Yamal 7%
Vinícius Jr. 7%
Álvaro Morata
29%
Julián Álvarez
22%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Vinícius Jr.
11%
Mikel Oyarzabal
23%
Richarlison
1%
Kylian Mbappé
33%
Harry Kane
35%
Lionel Messi
33%
Erling Haaland
37%
Ousmane Dembélé
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
32%
Lautaro Martínez
34%
Nick Woltemade
33%
Romelu Lukaku
-
Ferran Torres
33%
Raphinha
34%
Cody Gakpo
35%
Bukayo Saka
35%
Jude Bellingham
37%
Álvaro Morata 28.5%
Julián Álvarez 14%
Lamine Yamal 7%
Vinícius Jr. 7%
Álvaro Morata
29%
Julián Álvarez
22%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Vinícius Jr.
11%
Mikel Oyarzabal
23%
Richarlison
1%
Kylian Mbappé
33%
Harry Kane
35%
Lionel Messi
33%
Erling Haaland
37%
Ousmane Dembélé
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
32%
Lautaro Martínez
34%
Nick Woltemade
33%
Romelu Lukaku
-
Ferran Torres
33%
Raphinha
34%
Cody Gakpo
35%
Bukayo Saka
35%
Jude Bellingham
37%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The expanded 48-team World Cup format and early group-stage matches have left the bronze boot race tightly bunched, with trader consensus assigning Erling Haaland, Raphinha, Cody Gakpo, and Bukayo Saka the highest implied probabilities around 35-37 percent. Multiple forwards from deep-running sides such as Norway, Brazil, the Netherlands, and England share similar paths to three or more goals, supported by favorable group draws and recent qualifying form. Additional contenders including Romelu Lukaku, Ferran Torres, Kylian Mbappé, Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martínez, Jude Bellingham, and Ousmane Dembélé sit just behind at 32-34.5 percent, reflecting comparable attacking roles and historical scoring rates in major tournaments. Lower-priced options like Lamine Yamal and Vinícius Júnior retain realistic chances if their teams advance deep, while longshots trail due to limited playing time or team expectations. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in the unpredictable nature of goal distribution across the remaining fixtures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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