Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as narrow leaders because both enter with elite squad depth, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualification records. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and attacking fluency under Luis de la Fuente give them the edge in trader consensus, while France’s unparalleled talent pool and experience as 2018 champions and 2022 finalists keep them within a point. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil follow closely, each boasting proven match-winners, solid recent form, and favorable group paths in the expanded field. This tight clustering stems from the wisdom of crowds recognizing that no single side holds a decisive advantage heading into a grueling knockout stage across North America, where injuries, rest, and momentum shifts can quickly reorder probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИспания 17.0%
Франция 16.1%
Португалия 10.9%
Англия 10.8%
$1,952,152,141 Объем
$1,952,152,141 Объем
Испания
17%
Франция
16%
Португалия
11%
Англия
11%
Аргентина
9%
Бразилия
8%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
4%
Норвегия
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
Япония
2%
Марокко
2%
Мексика
1%
Швейцария
1%
Турция
1%
США
1%
Уругвай
1%
Хорватия
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Австрия
<1%
Канада
<1%
Швеция
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Иран
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Испания 17.0%
Франция 16.1%
Португалия 10.9%
Англия 10.8%
$1,952,152,141 Объем
$1,952,152,141 Объем
Испания
17%
Франция
16%
Португалия
11%
Англия
11%
Аргентина
9%
Бразилия
8%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
4%
Норвегия
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
Япония
2%
Марокко
2%
Мексика
1%
Швейцария
1%
Турция
1%
США
1%
Уругвай
1%
Хорватия
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Австрия
<1%
Канада
<1%
Швеция
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Иран
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as narrow leaders because both enter with elite squad depth, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualification records. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and attacking fluency under Luis de la Fuente give them the edge in trader consensus, while France’s unparalleled talent pool and experience as 2018 champions and 2022 finalists keep them within a point. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil follow closely, each boasting proven match-winners, solid recent form, and favorable group paths in the expanded field. This tight clustering stems from the wisdom of crowds recognizing that no single side holds a decisive advantage heading into a grueling knockout stage across North America, where injuries, rest, and momentum shifts can quickly reorder probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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