Spain and France sit at the front of the 2026 World Cup winner market as slight favorites because both enter with elite squad depth, strong recent international results, and minimal roster concerns. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and possession-oriented style led by young midfield talents underpin their narrow edge, while France’s blend of experience and athleticism, anchored by Mbappé, keeps them within a point or two in implied probability. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil trail closely in the next tier, each carrying proven tournament pedigree and attacking firepower that traders view as capable of disrupting the top two. With the expanded 48-team field and co-host advantages still to play out, the bunched pricing reflects broad parity among these sides rather than any single dominant force.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИспания 17.0%
Франция 16.1%
Англия 10.8%
Португалия 10.8%
$1,955,399,080 Объем
$1,955,399,080 Объем
Испания
17%
Франция
16%
Англия
11%
Португалия
11%
Аргентина
9%
Бразилия
8%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
4%
Норвегия
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
Япония
2%
Марокко
2%
Мексика
1%
Швейцария
1%
Турция
1%
США
1%
Уругвай
1%
Хорватия
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Австрия
<1%
Канада
<1%
Швеция
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Иран
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Испания 17.0%
Франция 16.1%
Англия 10.8%
Португалия 10.8%
$1,955,399,080 Объем
$1,955,399,080 Объем
Испания
17%
Франция
16%
Англия
11%
Португалия
11%
Аргентина
9%
Бразилия
8%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
4%
Норвегия
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
Япония
2%
Марокко
2%
Мексика
1%
Швейцария
1%
Турция
1%
США
1%
Уругвай
1%
Хорватия
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Австрия
<1%
Канада
<1%
Швеция
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Иран
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit at the front of the 2026 World Cup winner market as slight favorites because both enter with elite squad depth, strong recent international results, and minimal roster concerns. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and possession-oriented style led by young midfield talents underpin their narrow edge, while France’s blend of experience and athleticism, anchored by Mbappé, keeps them within a point or two in implied probability. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil trail closely in the next tier, each carrying proven tournament pedigree and attacking firepower that traders view as capable of disrupting the top two. With the expanded 48-team field and co-host advantages still to play out, the bunched pricing reflects broad parity among these sides rather than any single dominant force.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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