Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИспания 16.9%
Франция 16.1%
Португалия 10.9%
Англия 10.8%
$1,940,590,071 Объем
$1,940,590,071 Объем

Испания
17%

Франция
16%

Португалия
11%

Англия
11%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
8%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
4%

Норвегия
2%

Бельгия
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

Марокко
2%

Мексика
1%

Швейцария
1%

Турция
1%

США
1%

Уругвай
1%

Хорватия
1%

Эквадор
1%

Сенегал
1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Канада
<1%

Швеция
<1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Египет
<1%

Иран
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Испания 16.9%
Франция 16.1%
Португалия 10.9%
Англия 10.8%
$1,940,590,071 Объем
$1,940,590,071 Объем

Испания
17%

Франция
16%

Португалия
11%

Англия
11%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
8%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
4%

Норвегия
2%

Бельгия
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

Марокко
2%

Мексика
1%

Швейцария
1%

Турция
1%

США
1%

Уругвай
1%

Хорватия
1%

Эквадор
1%

Сенегал
1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Канада
<1%

Швеция
<1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Египет
<1%

Иран
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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