Spain, France, England, and Portugal sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market because each enters with elite squad depth, proven recent tournament pedigree, and favorable paths through a 48-team field. Spain leads slightly after its Euro 2024 triumph and the continued emergence of young talents like Lamine Yamal, while France relies on unmatched high-end personnel and repeated final appearances. England benefits from a balanced roster under new management, and defending champion Argentina maintains strong cohesion around Lionel Messi despite tougher historical back-to-back odds. Brazil, Germany, and the Netherlands round out the next tier with traditional strength and recent qualifying dominance. This tight clustering at the top reflects traders pricing the inherent unpredictability of a wide-open tournament where multiple contenders possess realistic paths to the trophy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИспания 16.4%
Франция 16.1%
Англия 10.8%
Португалия 10.4%
$1,936,672,519 Объем
$1,936,672,519 Объем

Испания
16%

Франция
16%

Англия
11%

Португалия
10%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
8%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
4%

Норвегия
2%

Бельгия
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

Марокко
2%

Мексика
1%

Швейцария
1%

Турция
1%

США
1%

Уругвай
1%

Хорватия
1%

Эквадор
1%

Сенегал
1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Канада
<1%

Швеция
<1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Египет
<1%

Иран
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Испания 16.4%
Франция 16.1%
Англия 10.8%
Португалия 10.4%
$1,936,672,519 Объем
$1,936,672,519 Объем

Испания
16%

Франция
16%

Англия
11%

Португалия
10%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
8%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
4%

Норвегия
2%

Бельгия
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

Марокко
2%

Мексика
1%

Швейцария
1%

Турция
1%

США
1%

Уругвай
1%

Хорватия
1%

Эквадор
1%

Сенегал
1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Канада
<1%

Швеция
<1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Египет
<1%

Иран
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, France, England, and Portugal sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market because each enters with elite squad depth, proven recent tournament pedigree, and favorable paths through a 48-team field. Spain leads slightly after its Euro 2024 triumph and the continued emergence of young talents like Lamine Yamal, while France relies on unmatched high-end personnel and repeated final appearances. England benefits from a balanced roster under new management, and defending champion Argentina maintains strong cohesion around Lionel Messi despite tougher historical back-to-back odds. Brazil, Germany, and the Netherlands round out the next tier with traditional strength and recent qualifying dominance. This tight clustering at the top reflects traders pricing the inherent unpredictability of a wide-open tournament where multiple contenders possess realistic paths to the trophy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы