Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to its consistent conservative voting patterns, R+23 partisan lean, and history of large margins in House races. With incumbent Harriet Hageman pursuing a Senate bid instead, the seat is open, but the Republican primary winner—chosen on August 18, 2026—faces limited opposition in the November general election. Multiple Republican contenders are competing, while Democratic primary options show no indication of mounting a viable challenge. Trader consensus at 97.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors, established turnout trends, and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap. A major scandal affecting the eventual Republican nominee or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain remote possibilities given the district's electoral history.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в WY-AL House
Победитель выборов в WY-AL House
$44,010 Объем
$44,010 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
96%
Демократическая партия
1%
$44,010 Объем
$44,010 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$20,103 Объем
96%
Демократическая партия
$23,907 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to its consistent conservative voting patterns, R+23 partisan lean, and history of large margins in House races. With incumbent Harriet Hageman pursuing a Senate bid instead, the seat is open, but the Republican primary winner—chosen on August 18, 2026—faces limited opposition in the November general election. Multiple Republican contenders are competing, while Democratic primary options show no indication of mounting a viable challenge. Trader consensus at 97.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors, established turnout trends, and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap. A major scandal affecting the eventual Republican nominee or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain remote possibilities given the district's electoral history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$44,010Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to its consistent conservative voting patterns, R+23 partisan lean, and history of large margins in House races. With incumbent Harriet Hageman pursuing a Senate bid instead, the seat is open, but the Republican primary winner—chosen on August 18, 2026—faces limited opposition in the November general election. Multiple Republican contenders are competing, while Democratic primary options show no indication of mounting a viable challenge. Trader consensus at 97.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors, established turnout trends, and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap. A major scandal affecting the eventual Republican nominee or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain remote possibilities given the district's electoral history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$44,010Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to its consistent conservative voting patterns, R+23 partisan lean, and history of large margins in House races. With incumbent Harriet Hageman pursuing a Senate bid instead, the seat is open, but the Republican primary winner—chosen on August 18, 2026—faces limited opposition in the November general election. Multiple Republican contenders are competing, while Democratic primary options show no indication of mounting a viable challenge. Trader consensus at 97.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors, established turnout trends, and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap. A major scandal affecting the eventual Republican nominee or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain remote possibilities given the district's electoral history.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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