Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, features a heavily favored Republican nominee in Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from Lummis, Senator John Barrasso, and President Trump. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races since the 1970s, combined with a crowded but establishment-aligned GOP primary field set for August 18, 2026, and minimal Democratic primary competition, underpins the 94.9% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive polling or late developments reinforce this positioning. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unforeseen primary outcome producing a damaged Republican nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome Wyoming's structural partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг
$14,224 Объем
$14,224 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
95%
Демократ
2%
$14,224 Объем
$14,224 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$8,592 Объем
95%
Демократ
$5,632 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, features a heavily favored Republican nominee in Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from Lummis, Senator John Barrasso, and President Trump. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races since the 1970s, combined with a crowded but establishment-aligned GOP primary field set for August 18, 2026, and minimal Democratic primary competition, underpins the 94.9% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive polling or late developments reinforce this positioning. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unforeseen primary outcome producing a damaged Republican nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome Wyoming's structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$14,224Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, features a heavily favored Republican nominee in Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from Lummis, Senator John Barrasso, and President Trump. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races since the 1970s, combined with a crowded but establishment-aligned GOP primary field set for August 18, 2026, and minimal Democratic primary competition, underpins the 94.9% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive polling or late developments reinforce this positioning. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unforeseen primary outcome producing a damaged Republican nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome Wyoming's structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$14,224Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, features a heavily favored Republican nominee in Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from Lummis, Senator John Barrasso, and President Trump. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races since the 1970s, combined with a crowded but establishment-aligned GOP primary field set for August 18, 2026, and minimal Democratic primary competition, underpins the 94.9% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive polling or late developments reinforce this positioning. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unforeseen primary outcome producing a damaged Republican nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome Wyoming's structural partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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