Traders assign a 98.5% probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, reflecting the absence of any public signals, official statements, or credible reports indicating strain in his long-standing marriage to Peng Liyuan. Chinese Communist Party leaders maintain strict oversight of personal matters, and historical patterns show that top officials rarely experience publicized domestic changes during their tenure. No recent diplomatic, health, or leadership developments have introduced uncertainty on this front. While unforeseen personal circumstances or internal party dynamics could theoretically alter the outcome before the 2027 deadline, the current stability in elite information controls and lack of indicators sustain the near-certain market consensus.