Yoon Suk-yeol has remained in continuous detention at the Seoul Detention Center since July 2025 while facing multiple criminal trials tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. In February 2026 a Seoul court convicted him of leading an insurrection and imposed a life sentence; separate convictions include a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 for obstructing authorities and additional multi-year sentences in other cases. Appeals processes for such convictions typically extend well beyond a single calendar year, and no parole or early-release mechanism has been indicated. These factors underpin the market’s strong consensus that Yoon will not exit custody before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЮн вышел из-под стражи до 2027 года?
Юн вышел из-под стражи до 2027 года?
Да
5% вероятность
$184,183 Объем
$184,183 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
5% вероятность
$184,183 Объем
$184,183 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol has remained in continuous detention at the Seoul Detention Center since July 2025 while facing multiple criminal trials tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. In February 2026 a Seoul court convicted him of leading an insurrection and imposed a life sentence; separate convictions include a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 for obstructing authorities and additional multi-year sentences in other cases. Appeals processes for such convictions typically extend well beyond a single calendar year, and no parole or early-release mechanism has been indicated. These factors underpin the market’s strong consensus that Yoon will not exit custody before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Объем
$184,183Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol has remained in continuous detention at the Seoul Detention Center since July 2025 while facing multiple criminal trials tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. In February 2026 a Seoul court convicted him of leading an insurrection and imposed a life sentence; separate convictions include a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 for obstructing authorities and additional multi-year sentences in other cases. Appeals processes for such convictions typically extend well beyond a single calendar year, and no parole or early-release mechanism has been indicated. These factors underpin the market’s strong consensus that Yoon will not exit custody before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$184,183Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yoon Suk-yeol has remained in continuous detention at the Seoul Detention Center since July 2025 while facing multiple criminal trials tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. In February 2026 a Seoul court convicted him of leading an insurrection and imposed a life sentence; separate convictions include a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 for obstructing authorities and additional multi-year sentences in other cases. Appeals processes for such convictions typically extend well beyond a single calendar year, and no parole or early-release mechanism has been indicated. These factors underpin the market’s strong consensus that Yoon will not exit custody before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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