Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрезидентские выборы в Замбии 1-й тур: явка
Президентские выборы в Замбии 1-й тур: явка
50-60% 32%
60-70% 26%
70-80% 18%
<50% 12%
$17,704 Объем
$17,704 Объем
14 авг. 2026 г.
<50%
12%
50-60%
32%
60-70%
26%
70-80%
18%
80%+
9%
50-60% 32%
60-70% 26%
70-80% 18%
<50% 12%
$17,704 Объем
$17,704 Объем
14 авг. 2026 г.
<50%
$3,587 Объем
12%
50-60%
$3,988 Объем
32%
60-70%
$6,091 Объем
26%
70-80%
$1,270 Объем
18%
80%+
$2,767 Объем
9%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Открытие рынка: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Объем
$17,704Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Объем
$17,704Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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