Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army has escalated with a military court issuing suspended death sentences to two former defense ministers last week for graft, capping a purge that began earlier this year. Gen. Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission and once a close Xi ally, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious disciplinary violations but faces no announced charges or trial date. Traders' 88.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the opacity of Communist Party elite processes, where top figures often undergo internal neutralization rather than public prison sentences, alongside speculation of potential closed-door proceedings possibly in July, leaving significant uncertainty before 2027 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$122,867 Объем
$122,867 Объем
Да
$122,867 Объем
$122,867 Объем
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army has escalated with a military court issuing suspended death sentences to two former defense ministers last week for graft, capping a purge that began earlier this year. Gen. Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission and once a close Xi ally, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious disciplinary violations but faces no announced charges or trial date. Traders' 88.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the opacity of Communist Party elite processes, where top figures often undergo internal neutralization rather than public prison sentences, alongside speculation of potential closed-door proceedings possibly in July, leaving significant uncertainty before 2027 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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