Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes at 28% apiece for the top bins, exceeding 2022's approximately 111 million amid a larger voting-eligible population nearing 270 million and persistent partisan polarization. Recent record primary turnout in Texas—over 2.2 million Democratic and 2.1 million Republican votes—and elevated Democratic participation in North Carolina signal strong early engagement that could sustain higher participation rates near historical midterm peaks of 45-50%. The contest remains close due to uncertainties in President Trump's approval ratings, economic pressures, and mobilization in battleground states; upcoming primaries through June and evolving generic ballot polls favoring Democrats may tip balances toward higher totals if enthusiasm holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
125-130m 25%
130m+ 19%
115-120m 16%
120-125m 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
1%
90-95m
2%
95-100m
2%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
16%
120-125m
22%
125-130m
25%
130m+
19%
125-130m 25%
130m+ 19%
115-120m 16%
120-125m 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$319 ปริมาณ
1%
85-90m
$419 ปริมาณ
1%
90-95m
$1,552 ปริมาณ
2%
95-100m
$269 ปริมาณ
2%
100-105m
$791 ปริมาณ
1%
105-110m
$436 ปริมาณ
6%
110-115m
$526 ปริมาณ
12%
115-120m
$1,025 ปริมาณ
16%
120-125m
$408 ปริมาณ
22%
125-130m
$1,199 ปริมาณ
25%
130m+
$294 ปริมาณ
19%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes at 28% apiece for the top bins, exceeding 2022's approximately 111 million amid a larger voting-eligible population nearing 270 million and persistent partisan polarization. Recent record primary turnout in Texas—over 2.2 million Democratic and 2.1 million Republican votes—and elevated Democratic participation in North Carolina signal strong early engagement that could sustain higher participation rates near historical midterm peaks of 45-50%. The contest remains close due to uncertainties in President Trump's approval ratings, economic pressures, and mobilization in battleground states; upcoming primaries through June and evolving generic ballot polls favoring Democrats may tip balances toward higher totals if enthusiasm holds.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,237วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes at 28% apiece for the top bins, exceeding 2022's approximately 111 million amid a larger voting-eligible population nearing 270 million and persistent partisan polarization. Recent record primary turnout in Texas—over 2.2 million Democratic and 2.1 million Republican votes—and elevated Democratic participation in North Carolina signal strong early engagement that could sustain higher participation rates near historical midterm peaks of 45-50%. The contest remains close due to uncertainties in President Trump's approval ratings, economic pressures, and mobilization in battleground states; upcoming primaries through June and evolving generic ballot polls favoring Democrats may tip balances toward higher totals if enthusiasm holds.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,237วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes at 28% apiece for the top bins, exceeding 2022's approximately 111 million amid a larger voting-eligible population nearing 270 million and persistent partisan polarization. Recent record primary turnout in Texas—over 2.2 million Democratic and 2.1 million Republican votes—and elevated Democratic participation in North Carolina signal strong early engagement that could sustain higher participation rates near historical midterm peaks of 45-50%. The contest remains close due to uncertainties in President Trump's approval ratings, economic pressures, and mobilization in battleground states; upcoming primaries through June and evolving generic ballot polls favoring Democrats may tip balances toward higher totals if enthusiasm holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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