Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million House votes for the 2026 midterms because recent polling shows Democrats holding a generic ballot edge and higher voter engagement, while Republicans face challenges mobilizing less-attached supporters without an incumbent president on the ballot. Education levels and historical patterns favor steadier participation among Democratic-leaning groups in off-year contests, yet overall midterm turnout has hovered near 46-50 percent of the voting-eligible population in recent cycles. Economic conditions, special-election swings, and late-campaign intensity remain key variables that could push totals higher or lower within this range, with resolution depending on final certified national House vote counts in November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
120-125m 25%
115-120m 20%
110-115m 12%
125-130m 12%
$22,851 ปริมาณ
$22,851 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
3%
85-90m
1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
2%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
25%
125-130m
12%
130m+
10%
120-125m 25%
115-120m 20%
110-115m 12%
125-130m 12%
$22,851 ปริมาณ
$22,851 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$572 ปริมาณ
3%
85-90m
$587 ปริมาณ
1%
90-95m
$1,723 ปริมาณ
3%
95-100m
$380 ปริมาณ
3%
100-105m
$971 ปริมาณ
2%
105-110m
$931 ปริมาณ
6%
110-115m
$3,828 ปริมาณ
12%
115-120m
$3,958 ปริมาณ
20%
120-125m
$7,063 ปริมาณ
25%
125-130m
$2,027 ปริมาณ
12%
130m+
$812 ปริมาณ
10%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million House votes for the 2026 midterms because recent polling shows Democrats holding a generic ballot edge and higher voter engagement, while Republicans face challenges mobilizing less-attached supporters without an incumbent president on the ballot. Education levels and historical patterns favor steadier participation among Democratic-leaning groups in off-year contests, yet overall midterm turnout has hovered near 46-50 percent of the voting-eligible population in recent cycles. Economic conditions, special-election swings, and late-campaign intensity remain key variables that could push totals higher or lower within this range, with resolution depending on final certified national House vote counts in November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,851วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million House votes for the 2026 midterms because recent polling shows Democrats holding a generic ballot edge and higher voter engagement, while Republicans face challenges mobilizing less-attached supporters without an incumbent president on the ballot. Education levels and historical patterns favor steadier participation among Democratic-leaning groups in off-year contests, yet overall midterm turnout has hovered near 46-50 percent of the voting-eligible population in recent cycles. Economic conditions, special-election swings, and late-campaign intensity remain key variables that could push totals higher or lower within this range, with resolution depending on final certified national House vote counts in November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,851วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million House votes for the 2026 midterms because recent polling shows Democrats holding a generic ballot edge and higher voter engagement, while Republicans face challenges mobilizing less-attached supporters without an incumbent president on the ballot. Education levels and historical patterns favor steadier participation among Democratic-leaning groups in off-year contests, yet overall midterm turnout has hovered near 46-50 percent of the voting-eligible population in recent cycles. Economic conditions, special-election swings, and late-campaign intensity remain key variables that could push totals higher or lower within this range, with resolution depending on final certified national House vote counts in November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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