The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills begins Thursday, with first-round leader probabilities tightly clustered because the historic, par-70 layout rewards precision off the tee and controlled iron play amid firm, fast greens and thick rough. No single player commands outsized odds, as recent form, course history, and random variance in scoring all contribute to a wide distribution of realistic outcomes. Scheffler, McIlroy, and Rahm sit among the stronger contenders based on major pedigree and current ball-striking, yet the market assigns comparable implied chances to numerous others, including accurate drivers like Henley and Fitzpatrick who performed well in the 2018 edition here. Practice-round reports and official injury updates have produced minimal shifts, underscoring how early-round low scores at Shinnecock remain inherently unpredictable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlex Smalley 49%
Nicolai Højgaard 49%
Gary Woodland 49%
Justin Thomas 49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Justin Thomas
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Justin Rose
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Keegan Bradley
49%
Xander Schauffele
48%
Sam Burns
48%
Kurt Kitayama
48%
Akshay Bhatia
48%
Hideki Matsuyama
48%
Viktor Hovland
48%
Min Woo Lee
48%
Kristoffer Reitan
48%
Patrick Cantlay
48%
Ryan Gerard
48%
Harris English
48%
Jacob Bridgeman
48%
Cameron Smith
48%
Scottie Scheffler
45%
Rickie Fowler
44%
Cameron Young
41%
Daniel Berger
41%
Jake Knapp
41%
Russell Henley
41%
J.T. Poston
34%
Dustin Johnson
33%
J.J. Spaun
30%
Rory McIlroy
29%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
David Puig
28%
Laurie Canter
28%
Patrick Reed
27%
Maverick McNealy
27%
Ben Griffin
27%
Alex Noren
26%
Jordan Spieth
26%
Bryson DeChambeau
26%
Jason Day
26%
Shane Lowry
25%
Wyndham Clark
24%
Lucas Herbert
22%
Michael Kim
22%
Alex Smalley 49%
Nicolai Højgaard 49%
Gary Woodland 49%
Justin Thomas 49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Justin Thomas
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Justin Rose
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Keegan Bradley
49%
Xander Schauffele
48%
Sam Burns
48%
Kurt Kitayama
48%
Akshay Bhatia
48%
Hideki Matsuyama
48%
Viktor Hovland
48%
Min Woo Lee
48%
Kristoffer Reitan
48%
Patrick Cantlay
48%
Ryan Gerard
48%
Harris English
48%
Jacob Bridgeman
48%
Cameron Smith
48%
Scottie Scheffler
45%
Rickie Fowler
44%
Cameron Young
41%
Daniel Berger
41%
Jake Knapp
41%
Russell Henley
41%
J.T. Poston
34%
Dustin Johnson
33%
J.J. Spaun
30%
Rory McIlroy
29%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
David Puig
28%
Laurie Canter
28%
Patrick Reed
27%
Maverick McNealy
27%
Ben Griffin
27%
Alex Noren
26%
Jordan Spieth
26%
Bryson DeChambeau
26%
Jason Day
26%
Shane Lowry
25%
Wyndham Clark
24%
Lucas Herbert
22%
Michael Kim
22%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills begins Thursday, with first-round leader probabilities tightly clustered because the historic, par-70 layout rewards precision off the tee and controlled iron play amid firm, fast greens and thick rough. No single player commands outsized odds, as recent form, course history, and random variance in scoring all contribute to a wide distribution of realistic outcomes. Scheffler, McIlroy, and Rahm sit among the stronger contenders based on major pedigree and current ball-striking, yet the market assigns comparable implied chances to numerous others, including accurate drivers like Henley and Fitzpatrick who performed well in the 2018 edition here. Practice-round reports and official injury updates have produced minimal shifts, underscoring how early-round low scores at Shinnecock remain inherently unpredictable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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