Skip to main content
icon for Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

icon for Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

22% โอกาส
Polymarket
ใหม่
22% โอกาส
Polymarket
ใหม่
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).**Alaska voters will decide Ballot Measure 2 on November 3, 2026, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system adopted by a narrow 2020 initiative and restore partisan primaries plus traditional single-choice general elections.** A similar repeal effort in 2024 failed by just 737 votes out of roughly 321,000 cast (49.9% Yes, 50.1% No), prompting supporters to restart signature gathering; the current measure qualified after verification of over 42,000 valid signatures in late 2025. The initiative also repeals 2020 campaign-finance disclosure rules requiring “true source” reporting for contributions over $2,000 routed through intermediaries. Opponents of repeal (No on 2) have raised more than $5.5 million, while repeal supporters (Repeal Now) have raised roughly $750,000–$1.1 million despite large outside contributions, including $1.5 million from Elon Musk disclosed in August 2026. Public hearings occurred in July and August 2026, and the measure appears alongside another initiative on campaign contribution limits. Traders’ 77.5% implied probability that the measure fails reflects the 2024 precedent, stronger organized opposition, and the added controversy over transparency provisions, though the outcome remains subject to turnout, final spending, and voter sentiment in the closing weeks of the campaign.

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21
วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).**Alaska voters will decide Ballot Measure 2 on November 3, 2026, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system adopted by a narrow 2020 initiative and restore partisan primaries plus traditional single-choice general elections.** A similar repeal effort in 2024 failed by just 737 votes out of roughly 321,000 cast (49.9% Yes, 50.1% No), prompting supporters to restart signature gathering; the current measure qualified after verification of over 42,000 valid signatures in late 2025. The initiative also repeals 2020 campaign-finance disclosure rules requiring “true source” reporting for contributions over $2,000 routed through intermediaries. Opponents of repeal (No on 2) have raised more than $5.5 million, while repeal supporters (Repeal Now) have raised roughly $750,000–$1.1 million despite large outside contributions, including $1.5 million from Elon Musk disclosed in August 2026. Public hearings occurred in July and August 2026, and the measure appears alongside another initiative on campaign contribution limits. Traders’ 77.5% implied probability that the measure fails reflects the 2024 precedent, stronger organized opposition, and the added controversy over transparency provisions, though the outcome remains subject to turnout, final spending, and voter sentiment in the closing weeks of the campaign.

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21
วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น "Yes" หรือ "No" ตามความเชื่อว่าเหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้นหรือไม่ ความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนในปัจจุบันคือ 23% สำหรับ "Yes" ตัวอย่างเช่น ถ้า "Yes" มีราคา 23¢ แปลว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 23% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

"Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?" เป็นตลาดที่เพิ่งสร้างใหม่บน Polymarket เปิดเมื่อ Aug 21, 2026 ในฐานะตลาดใหม่ นี่คือโอกาสของคุณที่จะเป็นหนึ่งในนักเทรดกลุ่มแรกที่ตั้งอัตราและสร้างสัญญาณราคาเริ่มต้น คุณยังสามารถบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามปริมาณและกิจกรรมการซื้อขายเมื่อตลาดเริ่มคึกคัก

ในการเทรด "Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?" เพียงเลือกว่าคุณเชื่อว่าคำตอบคือ "Yes" หรือ "No" แต่ละฝั่งมีราคาปัจจุบันที่สะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าคุณซื้อหุ้น "Yes" และผลลัพธ์ตัดสินเป็น "Yes" แต่ละหุ้นจ่าย $1 ถ้าตัดสินเป็น "No" หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ความน่าจะเป็นปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?" คือ 23% สำหรับ "Yes" นั่นหมายความว่าฝูงชน Polymarket เชื่อว่ามีโอกาส 23% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามการเทรดจริง ให้สัญญาณที่อัปเดตต่อเนื่องว่าตลาดคาดว่าอะไรจะเกิดขึ้น

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้