The closely contested Alaska U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola remains a toss-up in recent polling, with Sullivan holding narrow leads or near-ties in surveys from July 2026. This dynamic, combined with an open gubernatorial contest featuring a fragmented field of Democratic and Republican candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary, drives the elevated probabilities for split outcomes and "other" resolutions under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system. Trader consensus reflects the potential for divided results across the two races, as the governor primary's crowded field of contenders like Tom Begich, Bernadette Wilson, and others creates uncertainty about partisan control heading into the November general election. Recent polling trends and candidate fundraising show no decisive momentum shifts in either race over the past month, underscoring the role of voter preferences in this battleground state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlaska Senate and Governor Combo
Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
Dems sweep 35%
Reps sweep 31%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 21%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
35%
Reps sweep
31%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
21%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
17%
Dems sweep 35%
Reps sweep 31%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 21%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$75 ปริมาณ
35%
Reps sweep
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$20 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
The closely contested Alaska U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola remains a toss-up in recent polling, with Sullivan holding narrow leads or near-ties in surveys from July 2026. This dynamic, combined with an open gubernatorial contest featuring a fragmented field of Democratic and Republican candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary, drives the elevated probabilities for split outcomes and "other" resolutions under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system. Trader consensus reflects the potential for divided results across the two races, as the governor primary's crowded field of contenders like Tom Begich, Bernadette Wilson, and others creates uncertainty about partisan control heading into the November general election. Recent polling trends and candidate fundraising show no decisive momentum shifts in either race over the past month, underscoring the role of voter preferences in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
The closely contested Alaska U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola remains a toss-up in recent polling, with Sullivan holding narrow leads or near-ties in surveys from July 2026. This dynamic, combined with an open gubernatorial contest featuring a fragmented field of Democratic and Republican candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary, drives the elevated probabilities for split outcomes and "other" resolutions under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system. Trader consensus reflects the potential for divided results across the two races, as the governor primary's crowded field of contenders like Tom Begich, Bernadette Wilson, and others creates uncertainty about partisan control heading into the November general election. Recent polling trends and candidate fundraising show no decisive momentum shifts in either race over the past month, underscoring the role of voter preferences in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Alaska U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola remains a toss-up in recent polling, with Sullivan holding narrow leads or near-ties in surveys from July 2026. This dynamic, combined with an open gubernatorial contest featuring a fragmented field of Democratic and Republican candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary, drives the elevated probabilities for split outcomes and "other" resolutions under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system. Trader consensus reflects the potential for divided results across the two races, as the governor primary's crowded field of contenders like Tom Begich, Bernadette Wilson, and others creates uncertainty about partisan control heading into the November general election. Recent polling trends and candidate fundraising show no decisive momentum shifts in either race over the past month, underscoring the role of voter preferences in this battleground state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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