Alaska's August 18 open primary for the U.S. Senate features 16 candidates on one ballot, with the top four advancing under ranked-choice voting to the general election. Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and former Representative Mary Peltola lead fundraising and visibility, but the crowded field and Alaska's independent-leaning electorate keep their projected margin narrow according to trader pricing. Peltola's substantial cash advantage and recent polling edge contrast with Sullivan's incumbency and established base, while a same-name Republican challenger adds further vote fragmentation. Late turnout patterns, endorsements from key groups, and any final-week developments could widen or compress the gap between the leaders before results finalize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeltola 3–6% 41%
Peltola <3% 21%
Peltola 6–9% 18%
Sullivan <3% 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
Peltola 15%+
2%
Peltola 12–15%
5%
Peltola 9–12%
6%
Peltola 6–9%
18%
Peltola 3–6%
41%
Peltola <3%
21%
Sullivan <3%
7%
Sullivan 3–6%
1%
Sullivan 6–9%
2%
Sullivan 9–12%
1%
Sullivan 12%+
1%
Peltola 3–6% 41%
Peltola <3% 21%
Peltola 6–9% 18%
Sullivan <3% 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
Peltola 15%+
$200 ปริมาณ
2%
Peltola 12–15%
$159 ปริมาณ
5%
Peltola 9–12%
$159 ปริมาณ
6%
Peltola 6–9%
$393 ปริมาณ
18%
Peltola 3–6%
$5,804 ปริมาณ
41%
Peltola <3%
$979 ปริมาณ
21%
Sullivan <3%
$366 ปริมาณ
7%
Sullivan 3–6%
$733 ปริมาณ
1%
Sullivan 6–9%
$438 ปริมาณ
2%
Sullivan 9–12%
$332 ปริมาณ
1%
Sullivan 12%+
$337 ปริมาณ
1%
The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Alaska's August 18 open primary for the U.S. Senate features 16 candidates on one ballot, with the top four advancing under ranked-choice voting to the general election. Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and former Representative Mary Peltola lead fundraising and visibility, but the crowded field and Alaska's independent-leaning electorate keep their projected margin narrow according to trader pricing. Peltola's substantial cash advantage and recent polling edge contrast with Sullivan's incumbency and established base, while a same-name Republican challenger adds further vote fragmentation. Late turnout patterns, endorsements from key groups, and any final-week developments could widen or compress the gap between the leaders before results finalize.
The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,898วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Alaska's August 18 open primary for the U.S. Senate features 16 candidates on one ballot, with the top four advancing under ranked-choice voting to the general election. Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and former Representative Mary Peltola lead fundraising and visibility, but the crowded field and Alaska's independent-leaning electorate keep their projected margin narrow according to trader pricing. Peltola's substantial cash advantage and recent polling edge contrast with Sullivan's incumbency and established base, while a same-name Republican challenger adds further vote fragmentation. Late turnout patterns, endorsements from key groups, and any final-week developments could widen or compress the gap between the leaders before results finalize.
The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,898วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alaska's August 18 open primary for the U.S. Senate features 16 candidates on one ballot, with the top four advancing under ranked-choice voting to the general election. Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and former Representative Mary Peltola lead fundraising and visibility, but the crowded field and Alaska's independent-leaning electorate keep their projected margin narrow according to trader pricing. Peltola's substantial cash advantage and recent polling edge contrast with Sullivan's incumbency and established base, while a same-name Republican challenger adds further vote fragmentation. Late turnout patterns, endorsements from key groups, and any final-week developments could widen or compress the gap between the leaders before results finalize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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