Incumbent Partido Popular (PP), under President Juanma Moreno, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the May 17 Andalusian parliamentary election, driven by final polls averaging 42-45% support—poised for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Moreno's strong incumbency advantage, solidified by the 2022 outright win, stems from effective economic stewardship and PSOE-A's fragmentation, with voters shifting to left alternatives like Adelante Andalucía (AA) and Por Andalucía (PA). Recent surveys through early May confirm no opposition momentum, despite VOX's steady far-right niche. While late scandals, turnout surges favoring challengers, or coalition surprises could theoretically disrupt, historical polling accuracy in regional races bolsters PP's commanding position ahead of Sunday's vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAndalusia Election Winner
Andalusia Election Winner
PP 99.4%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$92,577 ปริมาณ
$92,577 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
PP
99%
PSOE-A
1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.4%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$92,577 ปริมาณ
$92,577 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
PP
$28,133 ปริมาณ
99%
PSOE-A
$30,252 ปริมาณ
1%
VOX
$24,647 ปริมาณ
<1%
PA
$5,119 ปริมาณ
<1%
AA
$4,426 ปริมาณ
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Incumbent Partido Popular (PP), under President Juanma Moreno, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the May 17 Andalusian parliamentary election, driven by final polls averaging 42-45% support—poised for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Moreno's strong incumbency advantage, solidified by the 2022 outright win, stems from effective economic stewardship and PSOE-A's fragmentation, with voters shifting to left alternatives like Adelante Andalucía (AA) and Por Andalucía (PA). Recent surveys through early May confirm no opposition momentum, despite VOX's steady far-right niche. While late scandals, turnout surges favoring challengers, or coalition surprises could theoretically disrupt, historical polling accuracy in regional races bolsters PP's commanding position ahead of Sunday's vote.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,577วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Incumbent Partido Popular (PP), under President Juanma Moreno, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the May 17 Andalusian parliamentary election, driven by final polls averaging 42-45% support—poised for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Moreno's strong incumbency advantage, solidified by the 2022 outright win, stems from effective economic stewardship and PSOE-A's fragmentation, with voters shifting to left alternatives like Adelante Andalucía (AA) and Por Andalucía (PA). Recent surveys through early May confirm no opposition momentum, despite VOX's steady far-right niche. While late scandals, turnout surges favoring challengers, or coalition surprises could theoretically disrupt, historical polling accuracy in regional races bolsters PP's commanding position ahead of Sunday's vote.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,577วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Partido Popular (PP), under President Juanma Moreno, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the May 17 Andalusian parliamentary election, driven by final polls averaging 42-45% support—poised for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Moreno's strong incumbency advantage, solidified by the 2022 outright win, stems from effective economic stewardship and PSOE-A's fragmentation, with voters shifting to left alternatives like Adelante Andalucía (AA) and Por Andalucía (PA). Recent surveys through early May confirm no opposition momentum, despite VOX's steady far-right niche. While late scandals, turnout surges favoring challengers, or coalition surprises could theoretically disrupt, historical polling accuracy in regional races bolsters PP's commanding position ahead of Sunday's vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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