Recent moderation in UK CPI inflation to 2.6% in June, combined with the Bank of England's July 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against any hike through 2026. Energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict has lifted the BoE's central projection for a 3.2% peak in Q4, yet most economists anticipate no tightening this year amid contained second-round effects and a still-restrictive policy stance. Trader consensus prices limited upside risks materializing before the September 17 meeting or year-end, consistent with historical base rates where gradual disinflation has often delayed further hikes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of England rate hike in 2026?
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
28% โอกาส
$47,142 ปริมาณ
$47,142 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
28% โอกาส
$47,142 ปริมาณ
$47,142 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent moderation in UK CPI inflation to 2.6% in June, combined with the Bank of England's July 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against any hike through 2026. Energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict has lifted the BoE's central projection for a 3.2% peak in Q4, yet most economists anticipate no tightening this year amid contained second-round effects and a still-restrictive policy stance. Trader consensus prices limited upside risks materializing before the September 17 meeting or year-end, consistent with historical base rates where gradual disinflation has often delayed further hikes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,142วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent moderation in UK CPI inflation to 2.6% in June, combined with the Bank of England's July 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against any hike through 2026. Energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict has lifted the BoE's central projection for a 3.2% peak in Q4, yet most economists anticipate no tightening this year amid contained second-round effects and a still-restrictive policy stance. Trader consensus prices limited upside risks materializing before the September 17 meeting or year-end, consistent with historical base rates where gradual disinflation has often delayed further hikes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,142วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent moderation in UK CPI inflation to 2.6% in June, combined with the Bank of England's July 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against any hike through 2026. Energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict has lifted the BoE's central projection for a 3.2% peak in Q4, yet most economists anticipate no tightening this year amid contained second-round effects and a still-restrictive policy stance. Trader consensus prices limited upside risks materializing before the September 17 meeting or year-end, consistent with historical base rates where gradual disinflation has often delayed further hikes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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