High polarization between the two runoff candidates, following a first-round result that concentrated over 84% of votes on the leading contenders, has sustained strong public engagement ahead of the June 21 vote. The May 31 first round recorded Colombia’s highest presidential turnout in history at 57.9%, up nearly three points from 2022, reflecting broad participation amid structural divides and limited centrist options. Campaigns now focus on mobilizing abstainers and consolidating support from eliminated candidates, while historical patterns in runoff elections and the absence of major disruptions support expectations of a modest increase. Trader consensus centers on the 60-64% range as the most probable outcome under these conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วColombia Presidential Election Runoff: Turnout
60-64% 60%
56-60% 31%
52-56% 8%
64%+ 5%
$11,557 ปริมาณ
$11,557 ปริมาณ
<52%
1%
52-56%
8%
56-60%
31%
60-64%
60%
64%+
5%
60-64% 60%
56-60% 31%
52-56% 8%
64%+ 5%
$11,557 ปริมาณ
$11,557 ปริมาณ
<52%
1%
52-56%
8%
56-60%
31%
60-64%
60%
64%+
5%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...High polarization between the two runoff candidates, following a first-round result that concentrated over 84% of votes on the leading contenders, has sustained strong public engagement ahead of the June 21 vote. The May 31 first round recorded Colombia’s highest presidential turnout in history at 57.9%, up nearly three points from 2022, reflecting broad participation amid structural divides and limited centrist options. Campaigns now focus on mobilizing abstainers and consolidating support from eliminated candidates, while historical patterns in runoff elections and the absence of major disruptions support expectations of a modest increase. Trader consensus centers on the 60-64% range as the most probable outcome under these conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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