Michael Kotlikoff, confirmed as Cornell’s permanent president in March 2025 after serving as interim and provost, faces recent pressure from faculty no-confidence plans and student protests over the university’s handling of a 2024 sexual assault allegation. These developments have prompted public statements from Kotlikoff pledging greater transparency and an independent review, but no resignation announcement or board action has emerged. With the October 31 deadline less than three weeks away and no established mechanism for rapid removal, traders assign overwhelming probability to his continued tenure. A last-minute departure would require either a voluntary exit or an extraordinary board decision amid ongoing investigations, both of which lack supporting indicators at present.